Donnerstag, 1. Januar 2009

Conspiracy Phobia on the Left

From Dirty Truths by Michael Parenti
(1996, City Lights Books)
(Pages 172 - 191)

THE JFK ASSASSINATION II:
CONSPIRACY PHOBIA
ON THE LEFT

Almost as an article of faith, some individuals believe that conspiracies are either kooky fantasies or unimportant aberrations. To be sure, wacko conspiracy theories do exist. There are people who believe that the United States has been invaded by a secret United Nations army equipped with black helicopters, or that the country is secretly controlled by Jews or gays or feminists or black nationalists or communists or extraterrestrial aliens. But it does not logically follow that all conspiracies are imaginary.

Conspiracy is a legitimate concept in law: the collusion of two or more people pursuing illegal means to effect some illegal or immoral end. People go to jail for committing conspiratorial acts. Conspiracies are a matter of public record, and some are of real political significance. The Watergate break-in was a conspiracy, as was the Watergate cover-up, which led to Nixon's downfall. Iran-contra was a conspiracy of immense scope, much of it still uncovered. The savings and loan scandal was described by the Justice Department as "a thousand conspiracies of fraud, theft, and bribery," the greatest financial crime in history.

Conspiracy or Coincidence?

Often the term "conspiracy" is applied dismissively whenever one suggests that people who occupy positions of political and economic power are consciously dedicated to advancing their elite interests. Even when they openly profess their designs, there are those who deny that intent is involved. In 1994, the officers of the Federal Reserve announced they would pursue monetary policies designed to maintain a high level of unemployment in order to safeguard against "overheating" the economy. Like any creditor class, they preferred a deflationary course. When an acquaintance of mine mentioned this to friends, he was greeted skeptically, "Do you think the Fed bankers are deliberately trying to keep people unemployed?" In fact, not only did he think it, it was announced on the financial pages of the press. Still, his friends assumed he was imagining a conspiracy because he ascribed self-interested collusion to powerful people.

At a World Affairs Council meeting in San Francisco, I remarked to a participant that U.S. leaders were pushing hard for the reinstatement of capitalism in the former communist countries. He said, "Do you really think they carry it to that level of conscious intent?" I pointed out it was not a conjecture on my part. They have repeatedly announced their commitment to seeing that "free-market reforms" are introduced in Eastern Europe. Their economic aid is channeled almost exclusively into the private sector. The same policy holds for the monies intended for other countries. Thus, as of the end of 1995, "more than $4.5 million U.S. aid to Haiti has been put on hold because the Aristide government has failed to make progress on a program to privatize state-owned companies" (New York Times 11/25/95).

Those who suffer from conspiracy phobia are fond of saying: "Do you actually think there's a group of people sitting around in a room plotting things?" For some reason that image is assumed to be so patently absurd as to invite only disclaimers. But where else would people of power get together - on park benches or carousels? Indeed, they meet in rooms: corporate boardrooms, Pentagon command rooms, at the Bohemian Grove, in the choice dining rooms at the best restaurants, resorts, hotels, and estates, in the many conference rooms at the White House, the NSA, the CIA, or wherever. And, yes, they consciously plot - though they call it "planning" and "strategizing" - and they do so in great secrecy, often resisting all efforts at public disclosure. No one confabulates and plans more than political and corporate elites and their hired specialists. To make the world safe for those who own it, politically active elements of the owning class have created a national security state that expends billions of dollars and enlists the efforts of vast numbers of people.

Yet there are individuals who ask with patronizing, incredulous smiles, do you really think that the people at the top have secret agendas, are aware of their larger interests, and talk to each other about them? To which I respond, why would they not? This is not to say that every corporate and political elite is actively dedicated to working for the higher circles of power and property. Nor are they infallible or always correct in their assessments and tactics or always immediately aware of how their interests are being affected by new situations. But they are more attuned and more capable of advancing their vast interests than most other social groups.

The alternative is to believe that the powerful and the privileged are somnambulists, who move about oblivious to questions of power and privilege; that they always tell us the truth and have nothing to hide even when they hide so much; that although most of us ordinary people might consciously try to pursue our own interests, wealthy elites do not; that when those at the top employ force and violence around the world it is only for the laudable reasons they profess; that when they arm, train, and finance covert actions in numerous countries, and then fail to acknowledge their role in such deeds, it is because of oversight or forgetfulness or perhaps modesty; and that it is merely a coincidence how the policies of the national security state so consistently serve the interests of the transnational corporations and the capital-accumulation system throughout the world.

Kennedy and the Left Critics

In the winter of 1991-92 Oliver Stone's film JFK revived popular interest in the question of President John Kennedy's assassination. As noted in part I of this article, the mainstream media launched a protracted barrage of invective against the movie. Conservatives and liberals closed ranks to tell the public there was no conspiracy to murder the president for such things do not happen in the United States.

Unfortunately, some writers normally identified as on the Left have rejected any suggestion that conspiracy occurred. While the rightists and centrists were concerned about preserving the legitimacy of existing institutions and keeping people from seeing the gangster nature of the state, the leftists had different concerns, though it was not always clear what these were.

Noam Chomsky, Alexander Cockburn, and others challenge the notion that Kennedy was assassinated for intending to withdraw from Vietnam or for threatening to undo the CIA or end the cold war. Such things could not have led to his downfall, they argue, because Kennedy was a cold warrior, pro-CIA, and wanted a military withdrawal from Vietnam only with victory. Chomsky claims that the change of administration that came with JFK's assassination had no appreciable effect on policy. In fact, the massive ground war ordered by Johnson and the saturation bombings of Vietnam, Cambodia, and Laos ordered by Nixon represented a dramatic departure from Kennedy's policy. On some occasions, Chomsky says he refuses to speculate: "As for what JFK might have done [had he lived], I have nothing to say." Other times he goes on to speculate that Kennedy would not have "reacted differently to changing situations than his close advisers" and "would have persisted in his commitment to strengthen and enhance the status of the CIA" (Z Magazine, 10/92 and 1/93).

The evidence we have indicates that Kennedy observed Cambodian neutrality and negotiated a cease-fire and a coalition government in Laos, which the CIA refused to honor. We also know that the surviving Kennedy, Robert, broke with the Johnson administration over Vietnam and publicly stated that his brother's administration had committed serious mistakes. Robert moved with the tide of opinion, evolving into a Senate dove and then a peace candidate for the presidency, before he too was murdered. The two brothers worked closely together and were usually of like mind. While this does not provide reason enough to conclude that John Kennedy would have undergone a transition comparable to Robert's, it still might give us pause before asserting that JFK was destined to follow in the direction taken by the Johnson and Nixon administrations.

In the midst of this controversy, Chomsky wrote a whole book arguing that JFK had no intention of withdrawing from Vietnam without victory. Actually, Kennedy said different things at different times, sometimes maintaining that we could not simply abandon Vietnam, other times that it ultimately would be up to the Vietnamese to fight their own war.1

One of Kennedy's closest aides, Kenneth O'Donnell, wrote that the president planned to withdraw from Vietnam after the 1964 elections. According to Colonel L. Fletcher Prouty, who headed military support for the clandestine operations of the CIA, Kennedy dictated "the rich parts" of NSAM 263, calling for the withdrawal not only of all U.S. troops but all Americans, meaning CIA officers and agents too. Prouty reflects that the president thereby signed "his own death warrant." The Army newspaper Stars and Stripes ran a headline: "President Says - All Americans Out by 1965." According to Prouty: "The Pentagon was outraged. JFK was a curse word in the corridors."

Concentrating on the question of withdrawal, Chomsky says nothing about the president's unwillingness to escalate into a ground war. On that crucial point all Chomsky offers is a speculation ascribed to Roger Hilsman that Kennedy might well have introduced U.S. ground troops in South Vietnam. In fact, the same Hilsman, who served as Kennedy's Assistant Secretary of State for Far Eastern Affairs, the officer responsible for Vietnam, noted in a long letter to the New York Times (1/20/92) that in 1963 "President Kennedy was determined not to let Vietnam become an American war - that is, he was determined not to send U.S. combat troops (as opposed to advisers) to fight in Vietnam nor to bomb North Vietnam." Other Kennedy aides such as Arthur Schlesinger Jr. and General Maxwell Taylor made the same point. Taylor said, "The last thing he [Kennedy] wanted was to put in our ground forces . . . I don't recall anyone who was strongly against [the recommendation], except one man and that was the President." Kennedy opposed the kind of escalation embarked upon soon after his death by Lyndon Johnson, who increased U.S. troops in Vietnam from 17,000 to approximately 250,000 and committed them to an all-out ground war.

Kennedy and the CIA

Chomsky argues that the CIA would have had no grounds for wanting to kill JFK, because he was a dedicated counterinsurgent cold warrior. Chomsky arrives at this conclusion by assuming that the CIA had the same reading of events in 1963 that he has today. But entrenched power elites are notorious for not seeing the world the way left analysts do. To accept Chomsky's assumptions we would need a different body of data from that which he and others offer, data that focuses not on the Kennedy administration's interventionist pronouncements and policies but on the more private sentiments that festered in intelligence circles and related places in 1963.

To offer a parallel: We might be of the opinion that the New Deal did relatively little for working people and that Franklin Roosevelt actually was a tool of the very interests he publicly denounced as "economic royalists." From this we might conclude that the plutocrats had much reason to support FDR's attempts to save big business from itself. But most plutocrats dammed "that man in the White House" as a class traitor. To determine why, you would have to look at how they perceived the New Deal in those days, not at how we think it should be evaluated today.

In fact, President Kennedy was not someone the CIA could tolerate, and the feeling was mutual. JFK told one of his top officials that he wanted "to splinter the CIA in a thousand pieces and scatter it to the winds" (New York Times, 4/25/66). He closed the armed CIA camps that were readying for a second Bay of Pigs invasion and took a number of other steps designed to bring the Agency under control. He fired its most powerful and insubordinate leaders, Director Allen Dulles, Deputy Director Charles Cabell, and Deputy Director for Plans Richard Bissell. He tried to reduce its powers and jurisdiction and set strict limits as to its future actions, and he appointed a high-level committee to investigate the CIA's past misdeeds.

In 1963, CIA officials, Pentagon brass, anti-Castro Cuban émigrés, and assorted other right-wingers, including FBI chief J. Edgar Hoover, hated JFK and did not believe he could be trusted with the nation's future. They referred to him as "that delinquent in the White House." Roger Craig records the comments of numerous Dallas police officers who wanted to see Kennedy done away with. Several years ago, on a San Francisco talk show on station KGO, I heard a listener call in as follows: "this is the first time I'm saying this. I worked for Army intelligence. In 1963 I was in Japan, and the accepted word around then was that Kennedy would be killed because he was messing with the intelligence community. When word came of his death, all I could hear was delighted comments like 'We got the bastard'."

In his book First Hand Knowledge, CIA operative Robert Morrow noted the hatred felt by CIA officers regarding Kennedy's "betrayal" in not sending the U.S. military into the Bay of Pigs fiasco. One high-level CIA Cuban émigré, Eladio del Valle, told Morrow less than two weeks before the assassination: "I found out about it last night. Kennedy's going to get it in Dallas."2 Morrow also notes that CIA director Richard Helms, "knew that someone in the Agency was involved" in the Kennedy assassination, "either directly or indirectly, in the act itself - someone who would be in a high and sensitive position . . . Helms did cover up any CIA involvement in the presidential assassination."

Several years after JFK's murder, President Johnson told White House aide Marvin Watson that he "was convinced that there was a plot in connection with the assassination" and that the CIA had something to do with it (Washington Post, 12/13/77). And Robert Kennedy repeatedly made known his suspicions that the CIA had a hand in the murder of his brother.

JFK's enemies in the CIA, the Pentagon, and elsewhere fixed on his refusal to provide air coverage for the Bay of Pigs, his unwillingness to go into Indochina with massive ground forces, his no-invasion guarantee to Krushchev on Cuba, his overtures for a rapprochement with Castro and professed willingness to tolerate countries with different economic systems in the Western hemisphere, his atmospheric-test-ban treaty with Moscow, his American University speech calling for reexamination of U.S. cold war attitudes toward the Soviet Union, his antitrust suit against General Electric, his curtailing of the oil-depletion allowance, his fight with U.S. Steel over price increases, his challenge to the Federal Reserve Board's multibillion-dollar monopoly control of the nation's currency,3 his warm reception at labor conventions, and his call for racial equality. These things may not have been enough for some on the Left but they were far too much for many on the Right.

Left Confusions and the Warren Commission

Erwin Knoll, erstwhile editor of the Progressive, was anther left critic who expressed hostility toward the conspiracy thesis and Oliver Stone's movie in particular. Knoll admitted he had no idea who killed Kennedy, but this did not keep him from asserting that Stone's JFK was "manipulative" and provided false answers. If Knoll had no idea who killed Kennedy, how could he conclude that the film was false?

Knoll said Stone's movie was "a melange of fact and fiction" (Progressive, 3/92). To be sure, some of the dramatization was fictionalized - but regarding the core events relating to Clay Shaw's perjury, eyewitness reports at Dealey Plaza, the behavior of U.S. law officers, and other suspicious happenings, the movie remained faithful to the facts unearthed by serious investigators.

In a show of flexibility, Knoll allows that "the Warren Commission did a hasty, slipshod job" of investigation. Here too he only reveals his ignorance. In fact, the Commission sat for fifty-one long sessions over a period of several months, much longer than most major investigations. It compiled twenty-six volumes of testimony and evidence. It had the investigative resources of the FBI and CIA at its disposal, along with its own professional team. Far from being hasty and slipshod, it painstakingly crafted theories that moved toward a foreordained conclusion. From the beginning, it asked only a limited set of questions that seemed to assume Oswald's guilt as the lone assassin.

The Warren Commission set up six investigative panels to look into such things as Oswald's background, his activities in past years and on the day of the assassination, Jack Ruby's background, and his activities on the day he killed Oswald. As Mark Lane notes, there was a crying need for a seventh panel, one that would try to discover who killed President Kennedy. The commission never saw the need for that undertaking, having already made up its mind.

While supposedly dedicated to bringing the truth to light, the Warren Commission operated in secrecy. The minutes of its meetings were classified top secret, and hundred of thousands of documents and other evidence were sealed for seventy-five years. The Commission failed to call witnesses who heard and saw people shooting from behind the fence on the grassy knoll. It falsely recorded the testimony of certain witnesses, as they were to complain later on, and reinterpreted the testimony of others. All this took careful effort. A "hasty and slipshod" investigation would show some randomness in its errors. But the Commission's distortions consistently moved in the same direction in pursuit of a prefigured hypothesis.

Erwin Knoll talks disparagingly of the gullible U.S. public and says he "despises" Oliver Stone for playing on that gullibility. In fact, the U.S. public has been anything but gullible. It has not swallowed the official explanation the way some of the left critics have. Surveys show that 78 percent of the public say they believe there was a conspiracy. Both Cockburn in the Nation and Chomsky in Z Magazine dismiss this finding by noting that over 70 percent of the people also believe in miracles. But the fact that people might be wrong about one thing does not mean they are wrong about everything. Chomsky and Cockburn are themselves evidence of that.

In any case, the comparison is between two opposite things. Chomsky and Cockburn are comparing the public's gullibility about miracles with its unwillingness to be gullible about the official line that has been fed to them for thirty years. If anyone is gullible it is Alexander Cockburn who devoted extra column space in the Nation to support the Warren Commission's tattered theory about a magic bullet that could hit both Kennedy and Connolley while changing direction in mid-air and remaining in pristine condition.

Chomsky says that it is a "curious fact that no trace of the wide-ranging conspiracy appears in the internal record, and nothing has leaked" and "credible direct evidence is lacking" (Z Magazine, 1/93, and letter to me, 12/15/92). But why would participants in a conspiracy of this magnitude risk everything by maintaining an "internal record" (whatever that is) about the actual murder? Why would they risk their lives by going public? Many of the participants would know only a small part of the picture. But all of them would have a keen sense of the immensely powerful and sinister forces they would be up against were they to become too talkative. In fact, a good number of those who agreed to cooperate with investigators met untimely deaths. Finally, what credible direct evidence was ever offered to prove that Oswald was the assassin?

Chomsky is able to maintain his criticism that no credible evidence has come to light only by remaining determinedly unacquainted with the mountain of evidence that has been uncovered. There has even been a decision in a U.S. court of law, Hunt vs. Liberty Lobby, in which a jury found that President Kennedy had indeed been murdered by a conspiracy involving, in part, CIA operatives E. Howard Hunt and Frank Sturgis, and FBI informant Jack Ruby.4

Nixon advisor H.R. Haldeman admits in his memoir: "After Kennedy was killed, the CIA launched a fantastic coverup." And "In a chilling parallel to their coverup at Watergate, the CIA literally erased any connection between Kennedy's assassination and the CIA."

Indeed, if there was no conspiracy, why so much secrecy and so much cover-up? If Oswald did it, what is there to hide and why do the CIA and FBI still resist a full undoctored disclosure of the hundreds of thousands of pertinent documents? Would they not be eager to reveal everything and thereby put to rest doubts about Oswald's guilt and suspicions about their own culpability?

The remarkable thing about Erwin Knoll, Noam Chomsky, Alexander Cockburn, and others on the Left who attack the Kennedy conspiracy findings is they remain invincibly ignorant of the critical investigations that have been carried out. I have repeatedly pointed this out in exchanges with them and they never deny it. They have not read any of the many studies by independent researchers who implicate the CIA in a conspiracy to kill the president and in the even more protracted and extensive conspiracy to cover up the murder. But this does not prevent them from dismissing the conspiracy charge in the most general and unsubstantiated terms.

Let's Hear It for Structuralism

When pressed on the matter, left critics like Cockburn and Chomsky allow that some conspiracies do exist but they usually are of minor importance, a distraction from the real problems of institutional and structural power. A structural analysis, as I understand it, maintains that events are determined by the larger configurations of power and interest and not by the whims of happenstance or the connivance of a few incidental political actors. There is no denying that larger structural trends impose limits on policy and exert strong pressures on leaders. But this does not mean that all important policy is predetermined. Short of betraying fundamental class interests, different leaders can pursue different courses, the effects of which are not inconsequential to the lives of millions of people. Thus, it was not foreordained that the B-52 carpet bombing of Cambodia and Laos conducted by Nixon would have happened if Kennedy, or even Johnson or Humphrey, had been president. If left critics think these things make no difference in the long run, they better not tell that to the millions of Indochinese who grieve for their lost ones and for their own shattered lives.

It is an either-or world for those on the Left who harbor an aversion for any kind of conspiracy investigation: either you are a structuralist in your approach to politics or a "conspiracist" who reduces historical developments to the machinations of secret cabals, thereby causing us to lose sight of the larger systemic forces. As Chomsky notes: "However unpleasant and difficult it may be, there is no escape from the need to confront the reality of institutions and the policies and actions they largely shape." (Z Magazine, 10/92).

I trust that one of the institutions he has in mind is the CIA. In most of its operations, the CIA is by definition a conspiracy, using covert actions and secret plans, many of which are of the most unsavory kind. What are covert operations if not conspiracies? At the same time, the CIA is an institution, a structural part of the national security state. In sum, the agency is an institutionalized conspiracy.

As I pointed out in published exchanges with Cockburn and Chomsky (neither of whom responded to the argument), conspiracy and structure are not mutually exclusive dynamics. A structural analysis that a priori rules out conspiracy runs the risk of not looking at the whole picture. Conspiracies are a component of the national security political system, not deviations from it. Ruling elites use both conspiratorial covert actions and overtly legitimating procedures at home and abroad. They finance everything from electoral campaigns and publishing houses to mobsters and death squads. They utilize every conceivable stratagem, including killing one of their own if they perceive him to be a barrier to their larger agenda of making the world safe for those who own it.

The conspiracy findings in regard to the JFK assassination, which the movie JFK brought before a mass audience, made many people realize what kind of a gangster state we have in this country and what it does around the world. In investigating the JFK conspiracy, researchers are not looking for an "escape" from something "unpleasant and difficult," as Chomsky would have it, rather they are raising grave questions about the nature of state power in what is supposed to be a democracy.

A structuralist position should not discount the role of human agency in history. Institutions are not self-generating reified forces. The "great continuities of corporate and class interest" (Cockburn's phrase) are not disembodied things that just happen of their own accord. Neither empires nor national security institutions come into existence in a fit of absent-mindedness. They are actualized not only by broad conditional causes but by the conscious efforts of live people. Evidence for this can be found in the very existence of a national security state whose conscious function is to recreate the conditions of politico-economic hegemony.

Having spent much of my life writing books that utilize a structuralist approach, I find it ironic to hear about the importance of structuralism from those who themselves do little or no structural analysis of the U.S. political system and show little theoretical grasp of the structural approach. Aside from a few Marxist journals, one finds little systemic or structural analysis in left periodicals including ones that carry Chomsky and Cockburn. Most of these publications focus on particular issues and events - most of which usually are of far lesser magnitude than the Kennedy assassination.

Left publications have given much attention to conspiracies such as Watergate, the FBI Cointelpro, Iran-Contra, Iraq-gate, CIA drugs-for-guns trade, BCCI, and savings-and-loans scandals. It is never explained why these conspiracies are important while the FJK assassination is not. Chip Berlet repeatedly denounces conspiracy investigations while himself spending a good deal of time investigating Lyndon LaRouche's fraudulent financial dealings, conspiracies for which LaRouche went to prison. Berlet never explains why the LaRouche conspiracy is a subject worthy of investigation but not the JFK conspiracy.

G. William Domhoff points out: "If 'conspiracy' means that these [ruling class] men are aware of their interests, know each other personally, meet together privately and off the record, and try to hammer out a consensus on how to anticipate and react to events and issues, then there is some conspiring that goes on in CFR [the Council for Foreign Relations], not to mention the Committee for Economic Development, the Business Council, the National Security Council, and the Central Intelligence Agency." After providing this useful description of institutional conspiracy, Domhoff then conjures up a caricature that often clouds the issue: "We all have a tremendous tendency to want to get caught up in believing that there's some secret evil cause for all of the obvious ills of the world." Conspiracy theories "encourage a belief that if we get rid of a few bad people, everything will be well in the world."

To this simplistic notion Peter Dale Scott responds: "I believe that a true understanding of the Kennedy assassination will lead not to a few bad people but to the institutional and parapolitical arrangements which constitute the way we are systematically governed." In sum, national security state conspiracies are components of our political structure, not deviations from it.

Why Care About JFK?

The left critics argue that people who are concerned about the JFK assassination are romanticizing Kennedy and squandering valuable energy. Chomsky claims that the Nazi-like appeals of rightist propagandists have a counterpart on the Left: "It's the conspiracy business. Hang around California, for example, and the left has just been torn to shreds because they see CIA conspiracies . . . secret governments [behind] the Kennedy assassination. This kind of stuff has just wiped out a large part of the left" (Against the Current 56, 1993). Chomsky offers no evidence to support this bizarre statement.

The left critics fear that people will be distracted or misled into thinking well of Kennedy. Cockburn argues that Kennedy was nothing more than a servant of the corporate class, so who cares how he was killed (Nation 3/9/92 and 5/18/92). The left critics' hatred of Kennedy clouds their judgment about the politcal significance of his murder. They mistake the low political value of the victim with the high political importance of the assassination, its implications for democracy, and the way it exposes the gangster nature of the state.

In 1894 Captain Alfred Dreyfus was a conservative militarist. Clemenceau once conjectured that if the man's name had not been Dreyfus, he would have been an anti-Dreyfusard. Does that mean that the political struggle waged around l'affaire Dreyfus was a waste of time? The issue quickly became larger than Dreyfus, drawn between Right and Left, between those who stood with the army and the anti-Semites and those who stood with the republic and justice.

Likewise Benigno Aquino, a member of the privileged class in the Philippines, promised no great structural changes, being even more conservative than Kennedy. Does this mean the Filipino people should have dismissed the conspiracy that led to his assassination as an event of no great moment, an internal ruling-class affair? Instead, they used it as ammunition to expose the hated Marcos regime.

Archbishop Romero of El Salvador was a member of the Salvadoran aristocracy. He could not have risen to the top of the church hierarchy otherwise. But after he began voicing critical remarks about the war and concerned comments about the poor, he was assassinated. If he had not been murdered, I doubt that Salvadoran history would have been much different. Does this mean that solidarity groups in this country and El Salvador should not have tried to make his murder an issue that revealed the homicidal gangster nature of the Salvadoran state? (I posed these questions to Chomsky in an exchange in Z Magazine, but in his response, he did not address them.)

Instead of seizing the opportunity, some left writers condescendingly ascribe a host of emotional needs to those who are concerned about the assassination cover-up. According to Max Holland, a scribe who seems to be on special assignment to repudiate the JFK conspiracy: "The nation is gripped by a myth . . . divorced from reality," and "Americans refuse to accept their own history." In Z Magazine (10/92) Chomsky argued that "at times of general malaise and social breakdown, it is not uncommon for millenarian movements to arise." He saw two such movements in 1992: the response to Ross Perot and what he called the "Kennedy revival" or "Camelot revival." Though recognizing that the audiences differ, he lumps them together as "the JFK-Perot enthusiasms." Public interest in the JFK assassination, he says, stems from a "Camelot yearning" and the "yearning for a lost Messiah."

I, for one, witnessed evidence of a Perot movement involving millions of people but I saw no evidence of a Kennedy revival, certainly no millenarian longing for Camelot or a "lost Messiah." However, there has been a revived interest in the Kennedy assassination, which is something else. Throughout the debate, Chomsky repeatedly assumes that those who have been troubled about the assassination must be admirers of Kennedy. In fact, some are, but many are not. Kennedy was killed in 1963; people who today are in their teens, twenties, thirties, and forties - most Americans - were not old enough to have developed a political attachment to him.

The left critics psychologize about our illusions, our false dreams, our longings for Messiahs and father figures, or inability to face unpleasant realities the way they can. They deliver patronizing admonitions about our "conspiracy captivation" and "Camelot yearnings." They urge us not to escape into fantasy. They are the cognoscenti who guide us and out-left us on the JFK assassination, a subject about which they know next to nothing and whose significance they have been unable to grasp. Having never read the investigative literature, they dismiss the investigators as irrelevant or irrational. To cloak their own position with intellectual respectability, they fall back on an unpracticed structuralism.

It is neither "Kennedy worship" nor "Camelot yearnings" that motivates our inquiry, but a desire to fight back against manipulative and malignant institutions so that we might begin to develop a system of accountable rule worthy of the name democracy.

________________________________

1 Kennedy's intent to withdraw is documented in the Gravel edition of the Pentagon Papers ("Phased Withdrawal of U.S. Forces, 1962-1964," vol. 2, pp. 160-200). It refers to "the Accelerated Model Plan . . .. for a rapid phase out of the bulk of U.S. military personnel" and notes that the administration was "serious about limiting the U.S. commitment and throwing the burden onto the South Vietnamese themselves." But "all the planning for phase-out . . . was either ignored or caught up in the new thinking of January to March 1964" (p. 163) - the new thinking that came after JFK was killed and Johnson became president.

2 Del Valle's name came up the day after JFK's assassination when Dallas District Attorney Henry Wade announced at a press conference that Oswald was a member of del Valle's anti-communist "Free Cuba Committee." Wade was quickly contradicted from the audience by Jack Ruby, who claimed that Oswald was a member of the leftish Fair Play for Cuba Committee. Del Valle, who was one of several people that New Orleans District Attorney Jim Garrison sought out in connection with the JFK assassination, was killed the same day that Dave Ferrie, another suspect met a suspicious death. When found in Miami, del Valle's body showed evidence of having been tortured, bludgeoned, and shot.

3 The bankers of the Federal Reserve System print paper money, then lend it to the government at an interest. Kennedy signed an executive order issuing over $4 billion in currency notes through the U.S. Treasury, thus bypassing the Fed's bankers and the hundreds of millions of dollars in interest that would normally be paid out to them. These "United States Notes" were quickly withdrawn after JFK's assassination.

4 See Mark Lane, Plausible Denial; Was the CIA Involved in the Assassination of JFK? (New York: Thunder's Mouth Press, 1991). For testimony of another participant see Robert Morrow: First Hand Knowledge: How I Participated in the CIA-Mafia Murder of President Kennedy (New York: S.P.I. Books, 1992).

The Israel Lobby Controversy

Elite Factionalism or Elite Conspiracy Theory?

“The criticism surrounding The Israel Lobby paper was sparked by the fact that two card-carrying members of the American intellectual establishment finally pointed out the elephant in the room.”

by Will Banyan

http://www.paranoiamagazine.com/israellobby.html

The publication in March 2006 of The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy, as a working paper for the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University and as an article in the London Review of Books, aroused much comment in the American media and academia -- most condemnatory. The authors, academics John Mearsheimer from the University of Chicago, and Stephen Walt from Harvard University, have had their work widely dismissed as being both conspiratorial and anti-Semitic.

"[T]his paper is anti-Semitic" declared Professor Eliot Cohen from Johns Hopkins University, in the Washington Post (April 5, 2006); nor was it "research in any serious sense," claimed Marty Peretz in The New Republic, but "the labor of obsessives with dark and conspiratorial minds." According to Harvard law professor Alan Dershowitz, the authors shared with white supremacist David Duke "the same interest in vilifying Jewish leaders and spouting conspiracy theories about Zionist plots against American interests" (Dershowitz 41). Even Stephen Zunes, a left-wing critic of U.S. support for Israel, implied that in subscribing to an "exaggerated claim of Jewish clout," Mearsheimer and Walt were "flirting with anti-Semitism" (Zunes 2006a, 15).

At the same time, there were some observers who were clearly overjoyed at the appearance of The Israel Lobby as it seemed to confirm their belief that the U.S. is, in fact, ruled by a "Zionist Occupation Government," or some other sinister Jewish cabal. David Duke, for example, praised it for having "told the truth about the proverbial gorilla in the room: the Zionist lobby and its enormous political and media power" (Duke 2006). The Israel Lobby, claimed a commentator for Rense.com, left "absolutely no doubt that Israel not only controls our entire government, our Pentagon, our foreign policy and our political parties, but our media as well" (Lang 2006).

Missing from these critiques and the praise - most of which represented the paper as a conspiratorial account of Jewish influence over U.S. foreign policy - was any acknowledgement of Mearsheimer and Walt’s careful caveats to the contrary. Some were explicit: "the Lobby’s activities are not a conspiracy of the sort depicted in tracts like the Protocols of the Elders of Zion." To be sure, Mearsheimer and Walt attribute to the Lobby an "ability to manipulate the American political system," but they stress that it is not "a unified movement with central leadership," but an ethnic lobby; one of many, though arguably the most successful (Mearsheimer and Walt 14-16).

According to Walt, the firestorm of criticism surrounding The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy was not sparked by what they said, but by "the fact that two card-carrying members of the American intellectual establishment finally pointed out the elephant in the room" (Washington Times, August 29, 2006). But why did they say it?

Aside from viewing The Israel Lobby controversy as confirming the unpalatable anti-Semitic nightmares of David Duke and others, there are from a conspiratorial perspective at least two more plausible ways of interpreting the storm.

The first is to see The Israel Lobby as a well-crafted attempt to divert blame for the costly debacle that the invasion of Iraq has become from the rest of the Establishment, especially the oil lobby, to the age-old scapegoat, the Jews (Zunes 2006a; Peretz 2006). In this counter-narrative Israel is the victim. Consider Zunes’ commentary on Israel’s recent attack on Lebanon - a military adventure he suggests Israel instigated "largely at the behest of the United States" - where Israel is painted as a U.S. "proxy in the Middle East." Zunes contends this use of Israel "corresponds to historic anti-Semitism" with the ruling elite using the Jews as the "most visible agents of the oppressive social order," who were always "convenient scapegoats" when the elites were seeking to redirect the anger of the restive masses. So now the scapegoating continues, evident in the blame placed on the "Zionist lobby" by Establishment critics (Zunes 2006b).

The second and more plausible interpretation (in this author’s opinion) is that the Mearsheimer-Walt paper is another salvo in an ongoing struggle between competing elites for control of the War on Terror. Rather than the U.S. power-elite being a monolithic entity, the increasingly shrill dispute over The Israel Lobby paper reveals that the fissures at the highest levels of the food chain have become deep and suppurating.

Rather than being a crude attempt to unfairly smear a single ethnic lobby, there really is an Israel Lobby (as AIPAC’s own website proudly attests), which has been successful (despite some exaggerations), and not surprisingly its agenda is opposed by elements in the Establishment. The paper suggested that the usual suspects in most conspiratorial accounts of the "New World Order" -- the Council on Foreign Relations, Trilateral Commission and Bilderbergers -- have some serious competition when it comes to influencing American foreign policy.

Continuing on with the argument raised in an earlier piece (Banyan 2006), it is the contention of this article that while the Mearsheimer-Walt article perhaps overstates the influence of the Israel Lobby, it exposes an aspect of elite factionalism missing from most mainstream and alternative narratives of the seemingly endless War on Terror.

The Ultimate Ethnic Lobby
At 82 pages including nearly 40 pages of footnotes, The Israel Lobby is an impressive tome, though inevitably controversial due to its central contention that a lobby group based in America’s Jewish community has distorted U.S. foreign policy. Mearsheimer and Walt are unequivocal, asserting that the overall thrust of U.S. policy in the Middle East is due "almost entirely to U.S. domestic politics … especially the activities of the ‘Israel Lobby’." In fact, they state, no other lobby groups have "managed to divert U.S. foreign policy as far from what the American national interest would otherwise suggest."

Israel, Mearsheimer and Walt point out, has been the recipient of an extraordinary amount of aid from the U.S., totaling some $140 billion since the early 1970s. The U.S. has also given Israel privileged access to its intelligence and turned a blind eye towards its covert nuclear program. Yet despite this generous aid, which far exceeds that given to poorer countries, Israel has become a "strategic burden" to America. Continuing U.S. support for Israel has antagonized Arab oil states and has been one of the key factors in motivating terrorists, especially Osama bin Laden, to attack Americans at home and abroad (Mearsheimer and Walt 4-5).

Despite these costs, U.S. support is assured because of the "unmatched power of the Israel Lobby," described as a "loose coalition of individuals and organizations" which actively works "to shape U.S. foreign policy in a pro-Israel direction" (p. 14). The "most powerful and well-known" organization in the Israel Lobby is the American-Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), ranked by members of Congress in 1997 as the second most powerful lobby active in Washington DC. AIPAC is a "de facto agent for a foreign government" claim Mearsheimer and Walt, which has a "stranglehold on the U.S. Congress" (pp. 15, 18).

Mearsheimer and Walt assert that AIPAC’s power stems from its ability to "reward legislators and congressional candidates who support its agenda, and to punish those who challenge it." Others have confirmed this contention. Michael Massing, writing in the New York Review of Books, for instance, notes that AIPAC has a "formidable network of supporters throughout the U.S.," comprising 100,000 members, nine regional offices, ten satellite offices, a Washington office with 100 staff and an annual budget of $47 million (Massing 67). But according to Massing, AIPAC’s real power lies not in its direct lobbying of Congressmen, but in its ability to control the flow of campaign financing:

A candidate will contact AIPAC and express strong sympathies with Israel. AIPAC will point out that it doesn't endorse candidates but will offer to introduce him to people who do. Someone affiliated with AIPAC will be assigned to the candidate to act as a contact person. Checks for $500 or $1,000 from pro-Israel donors will be bundled together and provided to the candidate with a clear indication of the donors' political views (p. 67).

Failing to toe the pro-Israel line, however, can cut short a Congressional career; those candidates who challenge AIPAC "can find their funds suddenly dry up," while their opponents receive generous funding from pro-Israeli sources (Massing 67). But the Lobby is not just AIPAC, it's also represented by a host of think tanks in Washington DC. Aside from the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, founded by the Lobby in 1985, "pro-Israel forces" have, according to Mearsheimer and Walt:

…established a commanding presence at the American Enterprise Institute, the Brookings Institution, the Center for Security Policy, the Foreign Policy Research Institute, the Heritage Foundation, the Hudson Institute, the Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis and the Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs (JINSA). These think tanks employ few, if any, critics of U.S. support for Israel (pp. 21-22).

The Lobby also has "significant leverage over the executive branch," partly due to the disproportionate influence of Jewish voters and financial contributors on presidential elections (Mearsheimer and Walt 18). Another factor is the presence of "fervently" pro-Israel individuals in important positions in the executive branch - such as Martin Indyk and Dennis Ross during the Clinton Administration; and Elliot Abrams, John Bolton, Douglas Feith, Richard Perle and Paul Wolfowitz in the Bush Administration - while opponents are generally excluded (Mearsheimer and Walt 17-19).

To achieve its goals - described by Massing as, "a powerful Israel free to occupy the territory it chooses; enfeebled Palestinians; and unquestioning support for Israel by the United States" - the Lobby, especially AIPAC, makes a lot of "background noise," mobilizing the media and Congress to pressure the White House into pursuing policies favorable to Israel (Massing 67-68). There are numerous examples:

  • In his Memoirs, President Nixon blamed an "unyielding and shortsighted pro-Israeli attitude prevalent in large and influential segments of the American Jewish community, Congress, the media, and in intellectual and cultural circles," for undermining his attempt to create a more "balanced" Middle East policy (p. 481).
  • In 1975 President Ford was forced to retreat from his six-month suspension of aid to Israel after a campaign by AIPAC, including a letter signed by 76 senators "confirming their support for Israel" (Blankfort 2003, pp. 4-5).
  • AIPAC has been linked to the Jerusalem Embassy Act of 1995, a piece of legislation apparently designed to disrupt the Oslo accords by trying to shift the U.S. Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem (Massing, pp. 67-68).
  • In a 2005 speech, former President George H. W. Bush suggested AIPAC was partly to blame for his electoral defeat in 1992 by campaigning against him (Desch 2006, p. 28).

Perhaps the greatest achievement of the Lobby, according to Mearsheimer and Walt, has been the invasion of Iraq in 2003. They assert that "pressure" from the Israel Lobby was a "critical factor" behind the invasion, which was part of a "larger plan to reorder the Middle East"; in fact, the overthrow of Saddam Hussein was "motivated in good part by a desire to make Israel more secure," rather than a push to dominate the region’s oil. They note that a number of Bush Administration officials, including Perle, Feith and David Wurmser, were co-authors of the Clean Break report of 1996 for then Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu which recommended ousting Saddam (Mearsheimer and Walt 30-35).

The Lobby also works to suppress commentary critical of Israel, including manipulating the media, stifling debate on university campuses, and labeling as anti-Semites those who suggest the pro-Israel Lobby has excessive influence. "In fact," they observe, "anyone who says that there is an Israel Lobby runs the risk of being charged with anti-Semitism" (Mearsheimer and Walt 6, 24). It seems to have been self-fulfilling prophecy. According to one observer, the Lobby "produced an attempt to silence discussion and discredit the authors, sometimes employing character assassination and the technique of guilt by association" (Pfaff 2006).

Mearsheimer and Walt have also been tarred as propagandists in the pay of the Arabs. Some overtly pro-Israel commentators linked publication of The Israel Lobby to a $20 million grant to Harvard from Saudi Prince Al-Waleed Bin Talal. More recently, Abraham Foxman, national director of the Anti-Defamation League, derided Mearsheimer and Walt as "handmaidens of the Arab propaganda machine" for speaking at an event organised by the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) (Jewish Telegraph, August 29, 2006).

The Elephant in the Room
The Mearsheimer-Walt paper is by no means the first attempt by Establishment representatives to criticize the Israel Lobby. In 2002, for example, Michael Lind, a former editor of The National Interest, wrote in Prospect magazine about the "disproportionate influence of the Israel lobby," claiming that its efforts were "distort[ing] U.S. foreign policy." Two years later, Anatol Lieven, a former journalist with the London Times and at the time a fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, criticised the Lobby in his book America Right or Wrong: An Anatomy of American Nationalism (2004).

Other critics of note have included George W. Ball, an Undersecretary of State during the Kennedy and Johnson Administrations, who attacked the Lobby in his book The Passionate Attachment (1992), arguing that it had "distorted America's policies and imposed an enormous burden on the nation's economy." No friend of the Lobby, Ball once likened members of Congress to "trained poodles," beholden to Israel’s interests, who would "jump dutifully through hoops held by Israel’s lobby" (quoted in Findley, p.19). Ball’s other credential was as one of the founding members of the Bilderberg group; in fact, he attended every Bilderberg meeting but one from 1954 until his death in 1994 (Ball 52-53).

It was through Bilderberg that Ball first developed his association with another occasional enemy of the Israel Lobby, mega-plutocrat David Rockefeller. Self-confessed believer in a "more integrated global political and economic structure: one world," it was perhaps inevitable that Rockefeller would come to grief with the more limited and parochial objectives of the Israel Lobby; though it would also suit his interests to divert blame for dubious policy choices to such a grouping.

Thus in Rockefeller's 2002 Memoirs, we find him agreeing with "expert" opinion that the "end of détente" could be traced to the Jackson-Vanik Amendment of 1972, which demanded the Soviets lift all restrictions on Jewish emigration in exchange for Most Favored Nation trading status (Rockefeller 236). That Amendment -- conceived by neo-con icon Senator Henry "Scoop" Jackson in consultation with an “informal group on Capitol Hill" led by Perle that was “intensely supportive of Israel” (Isaacson 612) -- was, in Rockefeller’s view, a "shortsighted congressional action" (Rockefeller 236).

Rockefeller’s autobiography is filled with details of his many meetings with Arab leaders, but he mentions relatively few visits to Israel. In fact, as "one of relatively few Americans" with access to Arab leaders during the early 1970s - due to his role as President of Chase Manhattan - David Rockefeller boasts he became a "diplomatic go-between," passing messages between the White House and the Arab world (Rockefeller 272).

This role soon got him into trouble with the Israel Lobby. A New York Times report claimed that on December 9, 1969, David Rockefeller and a group of oil executives had allegedly prevailed upon Nixon to adopt a "pro-Arab" position. Rockefeller rejects this characterization, claiming they merely pushed Nixon for a "more balanced U.S. policy" in the Middle East. Secretary of State William Rogers later called on Israel to withdraw to its pre-1967 borders in return for a binding peace with the Arabs. But, laments Rockefeller, Israel "rejected it out of hand" and announced it would open the Arab part of Jerusalem to settlement (Rockefeller 276-78).

A bitter Rockefeller suspected they had been "set-up" by Nixon to be the "scapegoats" if the public turned against Nixon’s policy (Rockefeller 278). But worse was to follow when the Chase bank was "swamped" with letters and prominent visitors from New York’s Jewish community complaining about Rockefeller’s "alleged anti-Israeli bias." A boycott was organized by "several Jewish businessmen" and a "number of important accounts were withdrawn." In January 1970, David Rockefeller issued a public statement clarifying his position, announcing his new found belief the U.S. "must to do everything it can" to support Israel (Rockefeller 279).

There was more to Rockefeller’s reversal than meets the eye. Among those complainants Rockefeller met with was Democrat Congressman Ed Koch, who waged a public campaign against the plutocrat, seeking confirmation that he had advised Nixon to adopt a policy "favorable to the Arabs." Koch claims David Rockefeller admitted to making the offending statement, though he insisted it was done in the interest of the U.S., not because of the oil. Informing the plutocrat that his brother, Nelson Rockefeller, had just come out in unequivocal support of Israel, Koch declared his intention to make a public statement about their meeting (Koch). It has been alleged that Nelson’s support for Israel was not heartfelt, but was due to the Israeli Mossad blackmailing him for consorting with South American fascists and trading with the enemy during World War II (Loftus and Arons 166-171). In the game of public relations Rockefeller had been checkmated.

David Rockefeller's setback was temporary. He has challenged the Israel Lobby’s consensus more than most. An example is his 1999 visit to Israel and the Gaza Strip as part of a CFR delegation, where he met with then Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat. Rockefeller’s account artfully denigrates Israel. He complains of being detained at the border crossing into Gaza by Israeli soldiers for "more than an hour." He describes Arafat as a "charming man," and Gaza as a "ghetto" and "one of the most forlorn places" he had ever visited. As for his Israeli hosts, Barak was a "self-confident, assertive man" who explains why Arafat’s demands will be rejected; but whose replacement by the "hardliner" Ariel Sharon threatens "an even wider war" (Rockefeller 409-410).

The Fight Continues
If we pursue this notion of elite factionalism, we might note the consistency of the links among those who have taken issue with the Israel Lobby. Former Secretary of State Colin Powell, for example, not only described the neo-cons as "fucking crazies" (quoted in Naughtie, p. 127), but repeatedly suggested their first loyalty was to Israel. Powell reportedly referred to most of Rumsfeld’s team as the "JINSA crowd" (LA Times, 9 Oct. 2006), and in his exit interview with Bush described Feith as a "card carrying member of the Likud Party" (Packer 445). Powell, no doubt by mere coincidence, is on record publicly thanking the Lobby’s other antagonist, David Rockefeller, for being his "great mentor."

Lawrence Wilkerson, Powell’s chief of staff at the State Department, and, since his own retirement, an outspoken critic of the "cabal" around Cheney, has lauded Mearsheimer and Walt’s thesis as containing "blinding flashes of the obvious." Wilkerson has reportedly assigned the paper to his students at George Washington University and the College of William and Mary "for discussion" (Amos 2006).

Other odd coincidences and connections also emerge. Anatol Lieven and Michael Lind, after coming under sustained criticism for their attacks on the Lobby, both found refuge at the New American Foundation (NAF). The mission of the NAF, which was founded in January 1999 and describes itself as an "independent, non-partisan, non-profit public policy institute," is to invest in "outstanding individuals and policy ideas that transcend the conventional political spectrum." Lind is currently the Whitehead Senior Fellow at the NAF. Former Deputy Secretary of State John C. Whitehead, who counts Rockefeller as one of his "old friends" (Whitehead, p.7) -- and who has also been publicly lauded as a "friend" by Powell and his deputy Richard Armitage -- is the largest individual donor to the NAF, as well as a public critic of the Bush Administration’s policies in the Middle East and elsewhere.

Whitehead also marked himself as an opponent of the Israel Lobby/neo-conservative consensus with his public and private attacks on John Bolton, back in 2004 when Bush nominated him to be Ambassador to the UN. Bolton, a former Senior Vice President at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), received enthusiastic support from AEI, JINSA and the Zionist Organization of America. In addition to the controversial efforts of Colin Powell and Richard Armitage, Whitehead personally lobbied Senators to reject Bolton’s nomination.

Zbigniew Brzezinski, long-time Rockefeller acolyte, Trilateral Commission co-founder and lead speaker at a number of NAF forums, praised Walt and Mearsheimer for performing a "public service" by "initiating a much needed public debate" on the role of the Israel Lobby (Brzezinski 63)

Uniting these figures has been their opposition to the invasion of Iraq. On the eve of the invasion, Mearsheimer and Walt (2003, 52) had derided the case for war as "flimsy," arguing instead for the continued containment of Saddam Hussein. Brzezinski had taken issue with the Bush Administration’s "demagogic fixation on Iraq" (Financial Times, Mar. 4, 2003), warning that invading Iraq may come "at too high a cost to America’s global leadership" (Washington Post, Feb. 19, 2003). And Lind (2003) found fault with Washington’s "failure to come up with a convincing rationale for the war."

Whitehead and Rockefeller also indicated disquiet, though less obviously. Sometime after the invasion, Rockefeller declared his support for Colin Powell’s failed attempt to evade war through the UN route (Banyan 2006). Whitehead was a signatory to a letter to Bush from the United Nations Association of the USA (Oct. 25, 2002), which declared its opposition to "unwarranted unilateral military action against Iraq" as a "compelling case has not been made" that Iraq was an imminent threat to the U.S.

The plot thickens further when we see the forces recently arrayed for and against Senator Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island. According to Massing, "pro-Israel forces" were "targeting" Chafee for taking "a number of positions that run counter to AIPAC’s" such as voting against the Syria Accountability Act (Massing 67). In early 2006, the founder of the Washington Political Action Committee, former AIPAC executive director Morris Amitay, told the New York Sun (Jan. 3, 2006) that they would "like to see the young Chafee retired from the Senate" as he had "one of the worst records of anyone in the Senate" when it came to "pro-Israel initiatives." WPAC had already donated $5000 dollars to Chafee’s GOP challenger, Stephen P. Laffey, whose pro-Israel stance was judged by a Rhode Island paper to be "so strong that it sometimes puts him in the minority" (Providence Journal, April 17, 2006).

As the September 12 primary loomed, it was reported that the Republicans Who Care Individual Fund, a group affiliated with the Republican Main Street Partnership, had emerged in support of Chafee, funding a $100,000 advertising campaign targeting his pro-Israel opponent, Laffey. Patrons of the fund, reported the Providence Journal (Sept. 6, 2006), were "some pillars of the old-line GOP establishment," including David Rockefeller ($25,000) and John C. Whitehead ($25,000). Whitehead was also a sponsor of a Chafee fundraiser at the Yale Club, hosted by New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg on September 5, 2006. This was not enough to save Chafee in the November elections, however, and he was trounced by his Democrat opponent, Sheldon Whitehouse, who received $31,000 from pro-Israel PACs.

The Split Capstone
Speaking in Washington DC in August 2006 as guests of CAIR, Walt made the point that they never said "the Israel lobby was all powerful." It was "not some secret cabal that controls [U.S.] foreign policy"; rather, there were "countervailing forces out there, though they are much weaker, and the lobby doesn’t get its way on every single issue." Walt’s important caveats highlight something missing from both the leftist analysis, exemplified by Zunes, and the more traditional conspiratorial analysis, both of which seem to contend that the ruling elites are monolithic and unfractured.

Among conspiracists, particularly those concerned with the New World Order, the dominant assumption is that all groups are so interconnected that the same objective-- world government - must predominate. Any evidence to the contrary is usually dismissed as a contrivance designed to deceive the public, or as a grubby squabble for control of the same project. David Icke, for instance, assures us that most world leaders (Illuminati) "only appear to be in conflict for the purposes of deluding the people into a false reality" (Icke 477).

Yet indisputable evidence of elite factionalism - of the upper echelons of the food chain chasing different agendas than world government - has long been apparent. In his magnum opus, Tragedy and Hope (1966), for example, Carroll Quigley had observed how, since the 1950s, Wall Street had been challenged by the "new wealth springing up outside the eastern cities, notably in the Southwest and Far West." As early as 1964, the representatives of this "new wealth," based in oil, aviation or armaments, had engaged in a financial struggle with the "old wealth" of the East for control of the political process - and ultimately of the White House - to ensure that high government spending on military and space continued (Quigley 1245-1246). This split between the so-called East Coast "Yankees" and the "Cowboys" of the Southwest was subsequently explored at length by Kirkpatrick Sale (1975) and Carl Oglesby (1977).

Seen through the prism of elite factionalism, The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy is a valuable addition to this neglected field. It highlights in some detail the workings and influence of yet another private grouping that subverts democratic processes in service of a narrow agenda. Of course, some caution is necessary as the outcry over its activities is driven by elite, rather than popular, angst at losing the initiative. But to disregard it, either out of fears of being labeled as anti-Semitic or because it conflicts with pet theories, would be shortsighted.

©2006 Will Banyan. This article appeared in Paranoia issue 44, Spring 2007. Will Banyan has a graduate degree in Information Science and is a writer specializing in the political economy of globalization. He has worked for local and national governments, international organizations and the private sector. He is currently working on a revisionist history of the New World Order and an analysis of the War on Terror. Banyan's six-part series, "Rockefeller Internationalism" and four-part series "A Short History of the Round Table" were published in Nexus. His article "Outflanking the Nation-State" appears on the Paranoia website, and research papers "The Invisible Man of the New World Order: Raymond B. Fosdick" and "The Proud Internationalist: The Globalist Vision of David Rockefeller" appear at: www.martinfrost.ws/htmlfiles/third_section.html. He may be reached at banyan007@rediffmail.com.

The Israel Lobby paper may be read at the London Review of Books website (www.lrb.co.uk). See also video (and transcript) of the Sept 2006 debate at Cooper Union in NYC, “The Israel Lobby: Does it Have Too Much Influence on U.S. Foreign Policy?” (www.scribemedia.org/2006/10/11/israel-lobby/)

References
Amos, Deborah. "Paper on Israel Lobby Sparks Heated Debate," NPR -- Morning Edition, April 21, 2006. www.npr.org.

Banyan, Will. "A Neo-Con Counter-Conspiracy," Paranoia (issue 40), Winter 2006.

Bill, James A. George Ball: Behind the Scenes in U.S. Foreign Policy. Yale University Press, 1997.

Blankfort, Jeffrey. "Damage Control: Noam Chomsky and the Israel Palestine Conflict,” www.dissidentvoice.org, May 25, 2005.

Blankfort, Jeffrey. A War for Israel. (Left Curve No. 28). If Americans Knew, 2004.

Blankfort, Jeffrey. The Israel Lobby and the Left: Uneasy Questions. If Americans Knew, 2003.

Brzezinski, Zbigniew. "A Dangerous Exemption," Foreign Policy, July/August 2006.

Dershowitz, Alan. Debunking the Newest - and Oldest - Jewish Conspiracy: A Reply to the Mearsheimer-Walt "Working Paper." Harvard Law School, April 2006.

Desch, Michael C. "The Myth of Abandonment: The Use and Abuse of the Holocaust Analogy," Security Studies, January 2006.

Findley, Paul. "Silence of the Poodles," Washington Report, May/June 2006, p. 19.

Icke, David. Tales from the Time Loop. Bridge of Love, 2004.

Isaacson, Walter. Kissinger: A Biography. Touchstone: New York, 1992.

Koch, Ed. Reminiscences of David Rockefeller (1976 interview), “Notable New Yorkers” in the Oral History Research Office Collection of the Columbia University Libraries (OHRO/CUL), www.columbia.edu.

Lind, Michael. "Can A Government Wage War Without Popular Support?," January 28, 2003.

Lind, Michael. "The Israel Lobby," Prospect, April 1, 2002.

Loftus, John, and Mark Aarons. The Secret War Against the Jews: How Western Espionage Betrayed The Jewish People. St. Martin's Griffin, 1997 (Reprint).

Massing, Michael. "The Storm over the Israel Lobby," The New York Review of Books, June 8, 2006.

Mearsheimer, John J. and Walt, Stephen M. The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy. Harvard University, March 2006.

Mearsheimer, John J. and Walt, Stephen M. "An Unnecessary War," Foreign Policy, January/February 2003.

Naughtie, James. The Accidental American: Tony Blair and the Presidency. Pan Books, 2004.

Oglesby, Carl. The Yankee and Cowboy War: Conspiracies from Dallas to Watergate and Beyond. Berkley: Medallion Books, 1977.

Peretz, Martin. "Oil and Vinegar," The New Republic, March 10, 2006.

Quigley, Carroll. Tragedy and Hope: A History of The World in Our Time. Angriff Press, 1974.

Rockefeller, David. Memoirs. Random House, 2002.

Sale, Kirkpatrick. Power Shift: The Rise of The Southern Rim and Its Challenge to the Eastern Establishment. Random House, 1975.

Whitehead, John C. A Life in Leadership: From D-Day to Ground Zero. New America Books, 2005.

Zunes, Stephen. The Israel Lobby: How Powerful is it Really? Foreign Policy In Focus, May 16, 2006a.

Zunes, Stephen. "How Washington Goaded Israel to Invade Lebanon," Aug. 19, 2006b, www.commondreams.org.

Who knows what happened on 9/11?

by Dan Hind

Wide-ranging conspiracies do take place, whether you or I, or Charlie Brooker, are inclined to believe it or not

http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/jul/17/september11

Earlier this week Charlie Brooker generated the largest number of online responses to an article in the history of Comment is free. His theme was conspiracy theory in general and the 9/11 conspiracy theories in particular – and it collected more than 1,700 comments. Brooker thinks conspiracy theories console those who find reality too dull and complicated without the garnish of a hidden agenda: "Embrace a conspiracy theory and suddenly you're part of a gang sharing privileged information; your sense of power and dignity rises a smidgeon and this troublesome world makes more sense, for a time."

Brooker's line belongs to a mini-genre of attempts to explain the public's willingness to entertain conspiracy theories in psychological terms. Indeed he is very close to that stern rationalist Melanie Phillips, who has decided that, in the absence of religion, conspiracy theories satisfy "our desperate need to make order out of chaos".

The conspiratorial world view does have its consolations. But so does Brooker's. There's a certain pleasure and drama in declaring that the world is driven by incompetence and error, and that things are more or less as they seem. You can preen yourself on how well-adjusted you are, how you haven't fallen for that stuff about lizards, or Illuminati. You have learned to live without magic. You're saying "I don't believe in 9/11 conspiracy theories", but you are signalling that you are sceptical and rational and that you don't have personal hygiene issues. There's a psychological pay-off for both the cock-up and the conspiracy theory of history.

Our willingness to entertain conspiracy theories is doubtless influenced by our life experiences. A man in his 20s with time on his hands is more likely to be drawn to the wilderness of mirrors that surrounds that death of John Kennedy than a successful columnist in his 30s.

But this is beside the point. Wide-ranging conspiracies do take place, whether we are inclined to believe that they do or not. It might well be consoling to believe that the CIA plots the overthrow of unhelpful foreign regimes. But it is also true. To insist that, say, the CIA had nothing to do with the fall of Guatemalan leader Jacobo Árbenz in 1954, or the overthrow of Chile's Salvador Allende in 1973 might feel terrifically sensible and sane – we can't always be seeing the hidden hand of the CIA, there's no call for reductionism. It is also, you know, wrong.

What happened on 9/11 is, in the end, a matter of fact – whatever our worldview might incline us to consider plausible or possible. The true authorship of the attacks is as difficult to establish as anything else about the world of international terrorism and espionage.

For myself, I have no idea what happened, because I have no more idea of how the business-intelligence-political nexus works than I have about what chess grandmasters are up to when they are staring at the board, looking all thoughtful.

The attacks on the US on September 11 2001 were part of a web of events that interconnect with oil, drugs, money, organised crime, imperialism, existing institutions and us. And religion, and a lot more money.

It might feel wise and sensible to declare that any explanation that differs from the official account requires hundreds of impossibly tight-lipped bureaucratic killers. But that presupposes that we know how the world works, and we don't.

Maybe the 9/11 attacks were all about a small team of terrorists who managed to hold it together in a world otherwise characterised by crossed wires and blundering incompetence. But I don't know, and nor does Charlie Brooker.

The most important conspiracy theory about 9/11 rarely gets mentioned by writers like Brooker and Phillips. In the run-up to the invasion of Iraq the White House made every effort to link Saddam Hussein to al-Qaida. Far from being a production of what commentators like to call the tinfoil hat brigade, this particular paranoid fantasy emerged from the work of a highly focused and skilled group of people.

They worked in secret to manipulate the American and the global public and we can trace the impact of the efforts over time. So here is a (true) conspiracy to promote a (false) conspiracy theory. The White House's psy-war operatives were doubtless a professional and measured lot. I am sure that they knew how to behave in socially appropriate ways and enjoyed their work. They also helped pave the way for an illegal war in which more than half a million people have died. There's a 9/11 conspiracy theory hard at work, right there. It doesn't matter what sort of person you are, whether you are coolly rational or groping around for meaning in an indifferent world, America's spooks conspired to stampede the public into war on a false prospectus.

Some of the same people are now working hard to convince us that Iran poses an unacceptable threat to the peace-loving nations of the world. If they can they will use conspiracy theories of various kinds to do it, all the while acting conspiratorially. So it is hardly surprising that people – intelligent, level-headed people – are willing to believe that sophisticated conspiracies exist and that they are sometimes extremely important drivers of events. Given that they demonstrably do exist.

And while elements in the American state angle for another war in the Middle East, Melanie Phillips and Charlie Brooker will doubtless continue to heap scorn on an irrational public. Which seems a little, well, paranoid, under the circumstances.

When's a conspiracy theory not a conspiracy theory? When it's your own

By Stephen Gowans

http://www3.sympatico.ca/sr.gowans/selective.html

It has become fashionable these days, in a kind of snobbish way, to denounce 9/11 conspiracy theories. "Conspiracy theories," the growing legion of detractors snort, "are absurd, ridiculous, and beneath contempt. Not only that, they're harmful."

And, indeed, it's true; some conspiracy theories are absurd, and some are harmful, but it's doubtful the absolutist position that all conspiracy theories are absurd is also true. Couldn't some conspiracy theories be true?

But my purpose isn't to defend this conspiracy theory or that, or to pick the good from the bad, but to look at the way "conspiracy theory" is used as a handy derogatory label to dismiss unpalatable and disturbing views, while other views that are not so unpalatable or disturbing and are just as much conspiracy theories, are accepted as reasonable; some even as received truth.

In fact, what's branded a "conspiracy theory" and therefore is said to be worthy of contempt, seems to depend on who's said to be doing the conspiring.

Take the theory that holds that US President George W. Bush had foreknowledge of the 9/11 attacks on US buildings, but did nothing to warn Americans, knowing he could use their deaths to his advantage. This theory is denounced as a monstrous slur, as having no basis in fact. And it's branded a "conspiracy theory."

But if the same theory were invoked to explain the behavior of an official enemy of the United States, or of the leader of a country Washington considers a rival, what are the chances it would be denounced as a monstrous slur, that has no basis in fact, and amounts to nothing more than base conspiracy theorizing?

Slim to none, I'd say. And I believe this to be so, because there is such a theory, and it has hardly been treated as absurd, ridiculous or unthinkable. Indeed, it hasn't even been labelled a conspiracy theory. But its features are no different than the "Bush had foreknowledge and deliberately failed to act" theory.

Advanced by the chief UN prosecutor Carla del Ponte, this (unlabelled conspiracy) theory says that former Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic, had foreknowledge of NATO attacks on Serb buildings, and did nothing to warn Serbs, knowing he could use their deaths to his advantage. In other words, he did what some conspiracy theorists allege Bush did (or didn't do.) And del Ponte has threatened to add the charge -- a conspiracy view, just as much as the Bush one -- to the list of indictments against Milosevic. So why isn't del Ponte's view branded a "conspiracy theory" and dismissed as beneath our notice?

Or what of Russian president Vladimir Putin? How would a theory that says Putin conspired to organize terror attacks against Russian civilians to justify military intervention in Chechnya be received? Like the theory that holds Bush responsible for conspiring to arrange terror attacks against US civilians? Would the Putin-did-it view be denounced, as the views of Jared Israel, Michael Rupert, and Michel Chossudovsky have been (who argue the Bush administration was complicit in 9/11.) Indeed, would the Putin as conspirator view even be called a conspiracy theory, or would it be accepted as a view worthy of consideration by level-headed, reasonable people -- hardly a "conspiracy theory" at all (though it very clearly involves a conspiracy)?

The following, published in The Globe and Mail (June 27, 2002), Canada's establishment newspaper, by Amy Knight, a respected university professor, says yes; it would be considered reasonable, and wouldn't be called a "conspiracy theory."

"In a third FSB-motivated case," (the FSB is the successor of the KGB) "a Moscow court on Monday convicted former FSB officer Alexander Litvinenko of abuse of office and stealing explosives. (He was given a suspended sentence of three-and-a-half years.)

"Mr. Litvinenko, who lives under political asylum in Britain and was...tried in absentia, fled abroad in late 2000, after running afoul of the FSB when he came out with accusations that his employers had ordered him to kill business tycoon Boris Berezovsky.

"More recently, Mr. Litvinenko co-authored a book accusing the FSB of complicity in the 1999 apartment bombings in Russia that killed more than 300 people. The bombings, which Russian officials blamed on Chechen rebels, aroused wide public support for a second invasion of Chechnya and helped to catapult Vladimir Putin to power in 2000.

"The fact that the culprits were never found and that the FSB was subsequently caught red-handed with explosives in an apartment building in the city of Ryazan (the FSB claimed it was just a "training exercise") led Mr. Litvinenko and many other Russians...to voice suspicion about FSB involvement in the bombings.

"The prosecution...of Mr. Litvinenko, hurried through before a law making in-absentia trials illegal comes into force on July 1, may be intended largely as a warning to potential defectors from the security and intelligence services that they would face severe reprisals if they followed in the footsteps of these men.

"Given that both so openly and scathingly attacked their former employers, the verdicts against them are not that surprising. Nonetheless, their cases demonstrate that politically motivated trials, a holdover from the Soviet era, are still a part of the Russian judicial system."


Notice that Litvinenko's allegations, not materially different from the allegations of those who charge the US government with complicity in the 9/11 attacks, are discussed in the context of a serious think-piece, written by a serious academic, in a serious, establishment newspaper. Notice too that Litvinenko's charges are not dismissed, and that the quality of his evidence (whatever it might be), is not called into question. And importantly, Litvinenko's views of a Kremlin-based conspiracy aren't called a conspiracy theory.

Notice, moreover, that you haven't seen the views of Israel, Rupert or Chossudovsky discussed in the mainstream press as serious allegations worthy of anyone's attention. Indeed, the only sustained attention they've received is in the Left American media, where they've been hysterically denounced on the flimsiest grounds. (David Corn, writing in The Nation, argues that Bush's fear of being caught would have deterred him from conspiring in 9/11. Perhaps, Corn would have argued that Richard Nixon would have never ordered the break-in of the Watergate Hotel, for the same reason: he would have been afraid of being found out.)

Yet, notice how close the parallel is between the two views.

One theory says, Putin orchestrated attacks on Russian buildings, which he then blamed on Islamists, to justify a war in Central Asia. The other says, Bush orchestrated attacks on US buildings, which he then blamed on Islamists, to justify a war in Central Asia. Suspicions are aroused because Putin has offered not a shred of evidence that the Islamists did it, and because the alleged culprits never actually said, "we did it," an odd thing for terrorists to do. Moreover, the Russian security service was caught placing bombs in Russian buildings. Suspicions are also aroused because Bush has offered no sound evidence that the Islamists did it, and because the alleged culprits have never actually said "we did it," an odd thing for terrorists to do. Moreover, the US security service has a long association with the alleged perpetrator.

Yet, despite the parallel, one's treated sympathetically and escapes being branded a "conspiracy theory," while the other is reviled and ridiculed as a "conspiracy theory" and circulates on the margins.

There's another parallel. While NATO was laying waste to Yugoslavia in the spring of 1999, I was struck by how the media attributed base and manipulative motives to non-NATO governments, particularly those of Yugoslavia, Russia and China, while angelizing the motives of NATO countries. So, for example, Milosevic's government was said to be inspired by ethnic hatred, Russia's opposition to the bombing was imputed to Slavic ethnic solidarity, while NATO governments were motivated by humanitarian concerns. Isn't dismissing conspiracy as the basis for our own government's actions, while accepting it as a possible basis for the actions of foreign governments, another instance of angelizing our own leaders while demonizing foreign leaders?

And there' another level on which the labelling of views as conspiracy theories is selective. While views that hold the US government responsible for, or as being complicit in, the 9/11 attacks, are disparaged as "conspiracy theories," the official view, which is every bit as much a conspiracy theory, is accepted as a received truth. That theory, it will be recalled, presented on no evidence at all, but with the demand that it be accepted on faith, holds that Osama bin Laden, "a sinister mastermind", conspired to have aircraft flown into the WTC and Pentagon because he hates American "freedom and democracy." What's more, the White House peremptorily dismissed requests to see evidence, and British Prime Minister Tony Blair's brief he claimed proved the Saudi terrorist's culpability was a pathetic farrago of leaps of logic and old newspaper clippings. In other words, the evidence for the official conspiracy theory is no better, and a thousand times weaker, than the evidence for antigovernment theories of only mediocre quality. It's as if what amounts to a conspiracy theory and is worthy of contempt is any set of unsubstantiated allegations other than the one set forth by the White House, State Department and Pentagon.

You don't need a conspiracy theory to explain that. You need only point to patriotism; the patriotism that holds foreign leaders conspire; American leaders never do.

Dienstag, 6. Mai 2008

14 Punkte

Dieser Text ist ursprünglich in Benthams "The Open Civil Engineering Journal" veröffentlicht worden. Ich habe ihn ins Deutsche übersetzt - Verbesserungsvorschläge sind ausdrücklich erwünscht:

Vierzehn Punkte der Übereinstimmung mit den offiziellen
Regierungsberichten zur Zerstörung der World Trade Center

von Steven E. Jones, Frank M. Legge, Kevin R. Ryan,
Anthony F. Szamboti und James R. Gourley

Übersicht:

Die Berichte von FEMA und NIST legen die offizielle Darstellung der Zerstörung der World Trade Center am 11.9.2001 dar. Mit diesem Schreiben möchten wir das Fundament für eine produktive Diskussion und ein Verständnis schaffen, indem wir uns auf jene Bereiche fokussieren, in denen wir eine gemeinsame Basis mit FEMA und NIST finden können, und gleichzeitig verschiedenen populären Mythen über die WTC-Kollapse entgegentreten.

EINFÜHRUNG

Am 11. September 2001 wurden die Zwillingstürme des World Trade Centers (WTC) von Flugzeugen getroffen. Die totale Zerstörung dieser Hochhäuser in Geschwindigkeiten nahe des freien Falls folgte innerhalb zweier Stunden, und ein weiteres Hochhaus, welches nicht von einem Flugzeug getroffen worden war (WTC 7), kollabierte etwa sieben Stunden später um 17 Uhr 20.

Der US-Kongress erlegte speziell dem National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) die Verantwortung auf, „festzustellen, warum und wie WTC 1 und WTC 2 infolge der Flugzeugeinschläge kollabierten und warum und wie WTC 7 kollabierte“ [1]. Die Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) hatte bei ihrer früheren Studie dieser tragischen Kollapse aus einer ähnlichen Motivation heraus gehandelt [2]. NIST und FEMA hatten nicht den Auftrag, herauszufinden, wie Feuer die spezifische Kollapsursache war, jedoch wählten beide offensichtlich diese eingeschränkte Herangehensweise und ließen dabei eine Reihe unbeantworteter Fragen offen. Unser Ziel hier ist, ein Fundament für eine wissenschaftliche Diskussion zu schaffen, indem wir jene Bereiche auflisten, in denen wir mit NIST und FEMA übereinstimmen. Die Mechanismen, welche zur Zerstörung der World Trade Center führten, zu verstehen, wird es Wissenschaftlern und Ingenieuren ermöglichen, ähnliche Gebäude benutzenden Menschen eine sicherere Umgebung zu bieten, und Feuerwehrleuten, die ihr Leben riskieren, um andere zu retten, nützen.

DISKUSSION

1. Der Kollaps des WTCs 7

FEMA: „Die Besonderheiten der Feuer im WTC 7 und wie sie das Gebäude zum Kollabieren brachten bleiben unbekannt zu dieser Zeit.
Obwohl der komplette Dieseltreibstoff im Gebäude eine massive potentielle Energie besaß, hat die beste Hypothese nur eine geringe Auftrittswahrscheinlichkeit. Weitere Forschung, Untersuchungen und Analysen werden benötigt, um diese Angelegenheit zu klären“ [2].

FEMA analysierte den bemerkenswerten Kollaps des WTC-Gebäudes 7, dem 47stöckigen Wolkenkratzer, der, obwohl nicht von einem Flugzeug getroffen, etwa sieben Stunden nach dem Kollaps des zweiten Turms kollabierte. Wir stimmen klar zu, dass FEMAs beste auf Feuer basierende Hypothese „nur eine geringe Auftrittswahrscheinlichkeit“ hat. NISTs abschließender Bericht zu WTC 7 wurde lange aufgeschoben und wird sehnsüchtig erwartet [3]. Offensichtlich ist es schwer, den kompletten und rapiden Kollaps von WTC 7 mit einer allein auf Feuer basierenden Hypothese vollends zu erklären.

2. Dem Flugzeugeinschlag standhalten

FEMA: „Die WTC-Türme waren entworfen worden, dem versehentlichen Einschlag einer Boeing 707, die an einem naheliegenden Flughafen zu landen versucht, standzuhalten…“
[2]

NIST: „Sowohl WTC 1 als auch WTC 2 waren stabil nach dem jeweiligen Flugzeugeinschlag und blieben 102 bzw. 56 Minuten stehen. Die Gesamtanalysen mit strukturellem Einschlagsschaden zeigten, dass beide Türme über beträchtliche Reservekapazität verfügten“ [4].

Ja, dem stimmen wir zu, wie dies auch vorher veröffentlichte Berichte tun:

„Die 110stöckigen Türme des World Trade Centers waren entworfen worden, im Ganzen den durch einen horizontalen Einschlag eines großen kommerziellen Flugzeugs verursachten Kräften standzuhalten. Warum also trat ein kompletter Kollaps auf?“ [5]

John Skilling, ein führender Bauingenieur der WTC-Türme, wurde 1993, gerade nachdem eine Bombe in einem Lastwagen im Nordturm hochgegangen war, interviewt:

„Wir haben uns jede erdenklich mögliche Sache angeschaut, die den Gebäuden hätte zustoßen können, sogar bis hin zu einem Flugzeug, das eine Seite trifft“, sagte John Skilling, der führende Bauingenieur…

Besorgt wegen eines Falles, bei dem ein Flugzeug das Empire State Building [das nicht kollabierte] getroffen hatte, machten Skillings Leute eine Analyse, die zeigte, dass die Türme dem Einschlag einer Boeing 707 standhalten würden.

„Unsere Analyse zeigte an, dass das größte Problem all der Treibstoff (des Flugzeugs) wäre, der ins Gebäude geschüttet würde. Es gäbe ein entsetzliches Feuer. Eine Menge Menschen würden getötet werden“, sagte er. „Die Gebäudestruktur würde immer noch da sein.“

Skilling - ein anerkannter Experte für große Gebäude - glaubt nicht, dass eine einzige 100-Kilo-Autobombe einen Trade-Center-Turm stürzen oder ihm bedeutenden strukturellen Schaden zufügen könnte. Die Stützsäulen sind dicht platziert und selbst wenn mehrere außer Kraft gesetzt wären, würden die anderen die Last tragen.

…Obwohl Skilling kein Sprengstoffexperte ist, sagt er, es gäbe Menschen, die genug über Gebäudesprengungen wüssten, um eine Konstruktion wie das Trade Center zu Fall bringen zu können.

„Ich kann mir vorstellen, wenn man den Topexperten für diese Art von Arbeit nimmt und ihm den Auftrag gibt, diese Gebäude mit Sprengstoff abzureißen, würde ich wetten, dass er es könnte.“ [6]

Also hat Skillings Team gezeigt, dass ein kommerzieller Jet einen WTC-Turm nicht zu Fall bringen würde, genau wie das Empire State Building nicht, nachdem es von einem Flugzeug getroffen worden war, kollabierte, und er hat erklärt, dass ein Experte mit Sprengstoff die Gebäude hätte abreißen können. Dem stimmen wir zu.

3. „Pfannkuchen“-Theorie wird nicht gestützt

NIST: „NISTs Ergebnisse stützen nicht die ‚Pfannkuchen’-Kollapstheorie, die auf einem fortschreitenden Ausfall der Böden in den WTC-Türmen basiert… Die Böden versagten nicht fortschreitend, um ein ‚Pfannkuchen’-Phänomen zu verursachen“ [3].

Richtig: Die „Pfannkuchen-Kollapstheorie“ ist inkorrekt und sollte verworfen werden. Diese Kollapstheorie wurde vom früheren FEMA-Bericht vorgeschlagen und in der von NOVA produzierten Dokumentation „Why the towers fell“ verbreitet [7]. Die „Pfannkuchen-Kollapstheorie“ wird in einem Popular-Mechanics-Artikel zusammen mit einer Reihe anderer diskreditierter Ideen stark beworben [8, 9]. Wir hingegen stimmen mit NIST überein, dass die „Pfannkuchen-Theorie“ wissenschaftlich nicht haltbar ist und in ernsthaften Diskussionen über die Zerstörung der WTC-Türme und von WTC 7 beiseite getan werden sollte.

4. Massive Kernsäulen

NIST: „Wie oben festgestellt, waren die Kernsäulen entworfen worden, etwa 50 % der Schwerkraftlasten zu tragen“ [4]. „Die Trägerkonstruktion verband den Kern mit den Außenwänden der Türme und ermöglichte es dem Gebäude auf diese Weise, den Auswirkungen des Flugzeugeinschlags und der folgenden Feuer für eine viel längere Zeit standzuhalten - was einer großen Anzahl der Bewohner zur sicheren Evakuierung verhalf“ [10].

„Pacific Car und Foundry of Seattle, Washington, stellten die dicht plazierten Außenwandsäulen her, die den Gebäuden deren sofort erkennbare Form verliehen. Stanray Pacific aus Los Angeles, Kalifornien, stellten die enormen Säulen, die den Kern bildeten, her… Den Kern der Gebäude, der hauptsächlich die Schwerkraftlasten trug, bildete eine Mischung aus massiven Stahlsäulen, gemacht aus dreistöckig langen Platten, und schweren gewalzten Flanschprofilen.“ „Die Kernsäulen waren dafür entworfen worden, die Schwerkraftlasten zu tragen und waren vor dem Flugzeugeinschlag zu ungefähr 50 % ihrer Kapazität beladen… Die äußeren Säulen waren vor dem Flugzeugeinschlag zu ungefähr nur 20 % ihrer Kapazität beladen“ [11].

Wir stimmen absolut zu, dass die WTC-Türme über „massive“ miteinander verbundene Stahlsäulen in ihren Kernen verfügten, zusätzlich zu den Säulen in den Außenwänden. Die zentralen Kernsäulen trugen viel der Schwerkraftlasten, also waren die Türme definitiv NICHT hohl. Dennoch scheint die falsche Vorstellung, die Türme wären „hohle Röhren“ gewesen, deren Böden nur von den Außensäulen getragen wurden, breite Akzeptanz erlangt zu haben. Zum Beispiel behauptete ein emeritierter Professor für Bauingenieurwesen: „Das Baudesign der Türme war insofern einzigartig, als die stützende Stahlstruktur aus dicht plazierten Säulen in den Wänden aller vier Seiten bestand. Die resultierende Konstruktion war ähnlich wie eine Röhre…“ [12].

Tatsache ist, dass die Türme mit einer starken lastentragenden Kernstruktur konstruiert wurden, zusätzlich zu den Außensäulen - und in diesem Punkt stimmen wir mit NIST darin überein, falsche populäre Vorstellungen zerstreuen zu wollen.

5. Praktisch im freien Fall

NIST: [Frage:] „Wie konnten die WTC-Türme in nur 11 Sekunden (WTC 1) und 9 Sekunden (WTC 2) kollabieren - Geschwindigkeiten, die denen eines aus ähnlicher Höhe fallengelassenen Balles durch ein Vakuum (ohne Luftwiderstand) entsprechen?“ [Antwort:] …Wie in Abschnitt 6.14.4 von NIST NCSTAR 1 dokumentiert, zeigen diese Kollapszeiten, dass: „…die Struktur unter der Ebene der Kollapsinitiierung der fallenden Gebäudemasse an und über der Einschlagszone minimalen Widerstand bot. Die potentielle von der Abwärtsbewegung der großen Gebäudemasse freigesetzte Energie überstieg die Kapazität der intakten Struktur darunter, diese Energie durch Deformationsenergie zu absorbieren, bei weitem. Da die Stockwerke unter der Ebene der Kollapsinitiierung der enormen von der fallenden Gebäudemasse freigesetzten Energie geringen Widerstand boten, kam der obere Gebäudeabschnitt praktisch im freien Fall herunter, wie in den Videos zu sehen ist“ [3].

Wir stimmen zu, dass das Gebäude „praktisch im freien Fall“ herunterkam, „wie in den Videos zu sehen ist.“ Dies ist ein wichtiger Ausgangspunkt. (Wegen der verhüllenden Staubwolken ist es schwierig, die exakten Fallzeiten zu bestimmen, aber die Aussage, dass die Gebäude „praktisch im freien Fall“ herunterkamen, erscheint korrekt, wenn man sich die Beschleunigungen anschaut, bei den WTC-Türmen wie auch bei WTC 7.) [13, 14] Des weiteren stimmen wir mit NIST darin überein, dass „die Stockwerke unter der Ebene der Kollapsinitiierung“ dem Fall „geringen Widerstand“ boten, aber wir fragen: Wie kann das sein? NIST erwähnt die „Deformationsenergie“, die für die gewaltigen Kernsäulen in den Türmen beträchtlich wäre, und sie müssten ausführlich darauf eingehen (was sie nicht getan haben), um behaupten zu können, die „intakte Struktur“ darunter würde die Bewegung nicht signifikant verlangsamen.

Darüber hinaus vernachlässigt NIST offensichtlich ein fundamentales Gesetz der Physik, indem es den bemerkenswerten „Freifall“-Kollaps jedes Turms als selbstverständlich betrachtet, nämlich das Gesetz der Impulserhaltung. Dieses Gesetz der Physik besagt, dass die hunderttausenden Tonnen Material im Weg die oberen Gebäudeabschnitte aufgrund ihrer Masse verlangsamen müssen, unabhängig von der Deformation, die den Fall ohnehin nur noch weiter verlangsamen kann. (Energie und Impuls müssen jeweils erhalten bleiben)

Veröffentlichte Arbeiten haben argumentiert, dass diese Nachlässigkeit NISTs (die Beinahe-Freifall-Geschwindigkeiten unerklärt zu lassen) ein schwerwiegender Fehler in ihrer Analyse ist. [13, 14] NIST ignoriert die Möglichkeit kontrollierter Sprengungen, die komplette Gebäudekollapse in Beinahe-Freifall-Geschwindigkeiten bewerkstelligen, indem sie das Material mittels Sprengsätzen aus dem Weg räumen. Also gibt es eine alternative Erklärung, die zu den Daten passt, ohne grundsätzliche Gesetze der Physik zu verletzen. Wir sollten uns darauf einigen können, dass, schauen wir uns die Beinahe-Freifall-Zerstörung an, diese charakteristisch für kontrollierte Sprengungen ist, und dass deshalb eine kontrollierte Sprengung ein Weg ist, den kompletten Kollaps in der annähernden Geschwindigkeit des freien Falls zu erreichen. Wir sind sehr daran interessiert, uns NISTs Kalkulationen, wie sie die Beinahe-Freifall-Kollapsraten ohne Sprengsätze erklären, anzuschauen.

Wir erwarten eine Erklärung von NIST, die der Impuls- und Energieerhaltung für die rapide und komplette Zerstörung aller drei WTC-Wolkenkratzer am 11.9. entspricht, oder eine Diskussion über alternative Hypothesen, die mit Impuls- und Energieerhaltung bei diesen Beinahe-Freifall-Ereignissen vereinbar sind.

6. Feuerbeständigkeitstests, kein Ausfall

NIST: „NIST vereinbarte mit Underwriters Laboratories, Inc. vertraglich, Tests durchzuführen, um Informationen zur Feuerbeständigkeit von Trägern wie denen in den WTC-Türmen zu erhalten… Alle vier Testbauten hielten der maximalen Konstruktionslast ungefähr zwei Stunden lang stand, ohne zu kollabieren… Das Untersuchungsteam war vorsichtig, was die direkte Verwendung dieser Ergebnisse für die Formulierung von Kollapshypothesen betraf. Zusätzlich zu den von den Testergebnissen aufgeworfenen Skalierungsfragen waren die Feuer in den Türmen am 11. September und das resultierende Ausgesetztsein der Böden wesentlich anders als die Bedingungen in den Testöfen. Nichtsdestotrotz machten die Ergebnisse [der empirischen Tests] deutlich, dass diese Art von Konstruktion in der Lage war, eine große Last über eine beträchtliche Zeitspanne hinweg, relativ zur Dauer der Feuer an jedem beliebigen Ort am 11. September, tragen zu können, ohne zu kollabieren [4].

Wir stimmen zu, dass NIST tatsächliche Feuertests durchgeführt hat, und dass alle vier „Träger wie die in den WTC-Türmen“ die Feuerbeständigkeitstests „ohne zu kollabieren“ überstanden haben. Wir stimmen auch zu, dass „die Feuer in den Türmen am 11. September“… „wesentlich anders als die Bedingungen in den Testöfen“ waren; die Testöfen waren heißer und brannten länger. Vielleicht möchte NIST ja eine Reihe andersartiger Tests durchführen, im Bemühen, irgendeine andere Hypothese für die Kollapsinitiierung zu entdecken. Nach heutigem Stand jedoch haben wir keine physikalischen Beweise aus echten Feuerbeständigkeitstests, welche die Idee eines totalen Kollapses aufgrund von Feuer stützen. Im Gegenteil deuten diese realen Tests an, dass die Gebäude nicht hätten komplett kollabieren sollen. Zusätzlich haben wir hunderte von Fällen von Feuer in großen Stahlgerüstgebäuden und ein kompletter Kollaps ist niemals aufgetreten.

"Aber Experten sagen, dass kein Gebäude wie WTC 7, ein modernes, stahlverstärktes Hochhaus, jemals wegen eines unkontrollierten Feuers kollabiert ist, und Ingenieure haben herauszufinden versucht, was genau geschah, und ob sie besorgt sein sollten um andere Gebäude gleicher Bauart im ganzen Land. Obwohl die Feuerschutzbeschichtung darauf ausgelegt war, gewöhnlichen Feuern mindestens zwei Stunden lang standhalten zu können, sagen Experten, dass Gebäude von der Größe des World Trade Centers 7, die mit solchen Beschichtungen behandelt werden, niemals in einem Feuer, gleich welcher Dauer, kollabiert sind. Drei weitere Gebäude des Komplexes, World Trade Center 4, 5 und 6, blieben stehen, obwohl sie Schäden aller Arten erlitten hatten, einschließlich Feuer" [15].

Brandschutzexperte Norman Glover stimmt zu:

"Beinahe alle großen Gebäude werden in ihrem Gebrauchsleben einmal der Schauplatz eines bedeutenden Feuers sein. Kein großes Hochhaus ist jemals durch Feuer kollabiert… Das WTC [selbst] war 1975 Schauplatz solch eines Feuers; das Gebäude überstand es jedoch mit geringem Schaden und wurde repariert und wieder in Betrieb gesetzt" [16].

Trotzdem kollabierten drei solcher Hochhäuser (WTC 1, 2, und 7) an einem einzigen Tag, dem 11.9.2001, komplett, und konnten nicht wieder in Betrieb gesetzt werden. Hier gibt es noch viel zu lernen.

7. Feuer von kurzer Dauer

NIST: „Die ursprünglichen Kerosin-Feuer selbst dauerten höchstens ein paar Minuten an“ [4]. „An jedem beliebigen Ort lag die Dauer von [Luft-, nicht Stahl-] Temperaturen nahe 1.000 °C bei etwa 15 bis 20 Minuten. Die restliche Zeit lagen die berechneten Temperaturen nahe 500 °C oder darunter“ [4].

Wir stimmen zu. Aber wie, wenn die Feuer so kurz und ungleichmäßig waren, konnten dann beide Türme ein urplötzliches Versagen des Baustahls in einem weiten Bereich in jedem Turm erleben, und wie konnten die Kollapse aller drei WTC-Hochhäuser so symmetrisch und vollständig sein? [13, 14, 17] Wir ersuchen eine Diskussion über diese Punkte.

8. Die WTC-Feuer haben den Stahl nicht geschmolzen

NIST: „In keinem Fall hat NIST berichtet, dass Stahl in den WTC-Türmen wegen der Feuer geschmolzen sei. Der Schmelzpunkt von Stahl liegt bei etwa 1.500 Grad Celsius (2.800 Grad Fahrenheit). Gewöhnliche Gebäudefeuer und Kohlenwasserstofffeuer (von Kerosin, z.B.) erzeugen Temperaturen von bis zu etwa 1.100 Grad Celsius (2.000 Grad Fahrenheit). NIST hat über maximale Oberschicht-Lufttemperaturen von etwa 1.000 Grad Celsius (1.800 Grad Fahrenheit) in den WTC-Türmen berichtet (zum Beispiel in NCSTAR 1, Bild 6-36)“ [3].

Wir stimmen zu. Auch mit Prof. Thomas Eagar stimmen wir in diesem Punkt überein:

"Das Feuer ist der missverstandenste Teil des WTC-Kollapses. Noch heute berichten die Medien (und viele Wissenschaftler glauben es), dass der Stahl schmolz. Es wird argumentiert, dass das Flugzeugbenzin sehr heiß brennt, besonders, wenn so viel Treibstoff im Spiel ist. Das ist nicht wahr… Die Temperatur des Feuers im WTC war nicht ungewöhnlich und es war ganz sicher nicht in der Lage, Stahl zu schmelzen“ [18].

Da sind wir uns bemerkenswert einig: Die WTC-Feuer waren nicht in der Lage, Stahl zu schmelzen. Natürlich könnte NIST dann aber Schwierigkeiten haben, das kurz vor dem Kollaps aus dem Südturm geflossene geschmolzene Material wie auch Hinweise auf sehr viel höhere Temperaturen als NISTs berichtete 1.100 °C zu erklären [13]. Wir bieten an, über Erklärungen für die beobachteten hohen Temperaturen zu diskutieren.

9. Zerstörung von WTC-Stahl-Beweismitteln

NIST: „NIST verfügt über 236 Baustahlelemente aus den Gebäuden des World Trade Centers (WTC). Diese Stücke repräsentieren nur einen kleinen Teil der begutachteten enormen Menge von Stahl in den verschiedenen Höfen, in die der Schutt, als das WTC-Gelände freigeräumt wurde, gebracht wurde. Es wird geschätzt, dass ungefähr 0,25 Prozent bis 0,5 Prozent der 200.000 Tonnen des für die Konstruktion der zwei Türme verwendeten Stahls sichergestellt wurden.“ „Der Mangel an WTC-7-Stahl schließt Tests am tatsächlichen Material dieses Gebäudes aus…“ [1].

Also wurde nur ein winziger Teil des Stahls der WTC-Türme analysiert, und nichts vom WTC-7-Stahl wurde von NIST analysiert. Was geschah mit dem Rest des Stahls vom Tatort?

"Mehr als drei Monate lang wurde, und wird immer noch, Baustahl der World Trade Center zerschnitten und als Schrott verkauft. Äußerst wichtige Beweise, die viele Fragen über die Designpraktiken von Hochhäusern und das Verhalten unter Brandbedingungen beantworten könnten, sind per Schiff nach China unterwegs, und werden vielleicht nie wieder in Amerika gesehen werden, ehe Sie Ihr neues Auto kaufen. Solch eine Vernichtung von Beweisen zeigt die erstaunliche Ignoranz von Regierungsoffiziellen für den Wert einer gründlichen, wissenschaftlichen Untersuchung des größten feuerinduzierten Kollapses der Weltgeschichte. Ich habe unseren nationalen Standard für Branduntersuchungen, NFPA 921, durchkämmt, aber nirgendwo dort lässt sich eine Ausnahme finden, welche die Zerstörung von Beweismitteln für Gebäude von über zehn Stockwerken Größe erlaubt [19]."

Und obwohl nur ein kleiner Teil des Stahls für Tests gerettet wurde, ist es klar, dass eine „enorme Menge“ des WTC-Stahls entweder für oder von NIST begutachtet wurde, und die ausgesuchten Proben wegen ihrer identifizierten Wichtigkeit für die NIST-Ermittlung ausgewählt wurden [20].

Wir stimmen zu, dass nur „ein kleiner Teil der enormen Menge des Stahls“ der Türme geschont und der Rest rasch wiederverwertet wurde. Die Vernichtung von etwa 99 % des Stahls, Beweismitteln eines Tatorts, war verdächtig und wahrscheinlich illegal, hoffentlich können wir uns darauf einigen.

10. Ungewöhnlich helle Flamme und glühende Flüssigkeit (WTC 2)

NIST: „Eine ungewöhnliche Flamme ist im Feuer zu erkennen. Auf dem oberen Foto {Bild 9-44} sticht, im Gegensatz zu den typischen gelben oder orangefarbenen Flammen herum, eine sehr helle Flamme, die eine Schwade weißen Rauchs erzeugt, hervor“ [4].

„NIST berichtete (NCSTAR 1-5A), dass kurz vor 9 Uhr 52 ein heller Punkt oben an einem Fenster im 80sten Stock des WTCs 2 erschien, vier Fenster versetzt von der Ostecke der Nordseite, gefolgt vom Fließen einer glühenden Flüssigkeit. Dieser Fluss dauerte ungefähr vier Sekunden an, bevor er abklang. Viele solcher Flüssigkeiten wurden in den sieben Minuten vor dem Kollaps dieses Turms nahe dieser Stelle beobachtet“ [3].

Wir stimmen zu und gratulieren NIST dafür, diese Beobachtungen einer „ungewöhnlichen Flamme… die eine Schwade weißen Rauchs erzeugt“ [4], „gefolgt vom Fließen einer glühenden Flüssigkeit“, die „orange glühte“ [3], miteinzubeziehen. Im Hinblick auf die „sehr helle Flamme… die eine Schwade weißen Rauchs erzeugt“, schließt NIST brennendes Aluminium praktisch aus, weil „Aluminium sich gewöhnlicherweise nicht bei normalen Feuertemperaturen entzündet…“ [3].

Und wieder stimmen wir zu.

Die Herkunft dieser sehr hellen Flamme und des mit ihr verbundenen Fließens einer orange glühenden Flüssigkeit bleiben offene Fragen im NIST-Bericht. NIST hat, indem es diese bedeutsamen Anhaltspunkte aus seinen Daten veröffentlicht hat [3, 4], eine sehr angemessene Ermittlungsrichtung eröffnet und einen wichtigen Ausgangspunkt gesetzt für weitere Diskussionen, die wir ersuchen.

11. Hochtemperaturangriff auf den Stahl, Sulfidation

FEMA (basierend auf der Arbeit eines Untersuchungsteams vom Worchester Polytechnic Institute): „Probe 1 (von WTC 7)… Hinweise eines starken Hochtemperaturkorrosionsangriffs auf den Stahl, einschließlich Oxidation und Sulfidation mit anschließendem interkristallinem Schmelzen, waren leicht erkennbar in der Mikrostruktur nahe der Oberfläche… Probe 2 (von WTC 1 oder WTC 2)… Die Verdünnung des Stahls trat auf durch Hochtemperaturkorrosion aufgrund einer Kombination von Oxidation und Sulfidation. …Die starke Korrosion und anschließende Erosion der Proben 1 und 2 sind ein sehr ungewöhnliches Ereignis. Für die Quelle des Schwefels ist keine klare Erklärung identifiziert worden… Eine detaillierte Studie der Mechanismen dieses Phänomens wird benötigt…“ [2].

Wir stimmen zu, dass die physikalischen Beweise für einen „starken Hochtemperaturkorrosionsangriff“ mit Schwefel zwingend sind. Hier haben wir Gründe für eine interessante Diskussion: Wie wurden „starke hohe Temperaturen“ in den WTC-Gebäuden erreicht? Was ist die Quelle des Schwefels, der den Stahl in diesen Gebäuden angegriffen hat? Die Antworten auf diese Fragen könnten uns die Erklärung für den „totalen Kollaps“ der Türme und des WTCs 7, die wir alle suchen, finden helfen.

Die WPI-Forscher haben ihre Ergebnisse veröffentlicht [2, 21] und „eine detaillierte Studie“ dieses Phänomens von „Hochtemperatur“-„Oxidation und Sulfidation“ erbeten. Jedoch wurden ihre Ergebnisse unglücklicherweise von NIST in deren darauffolgenden Berichten zur Zerstörung der Türme ignoriert [3, 4]. Ihr Versagen, auf diese dokumentierte Anomalie einzugehen, ist ein verblüffendes Phänomen an sich. Vielleicht wird NIST dieses Übersehen erklären und korrigieren, indem sie die Hochtemperatursulfidationsdaten in ihrem lange überfälligen Bericht zum Kollaps des WTCs 7 berücksichtigen. Die Existenz starker Hochtemperaturen bei der WTC-Zerstörung ist jetzt klar festgestellt [22]. Es scheint, dass NIST diesen Beweis versehentlich übersehen hat, und wir bieten an, diese Sache mit ihnen zu untersuchen, im Streben nach Verständnis und Sicherheit.

12. Computermodelle und Visualisierungen

NIST: „Für die Gesamtanalyse jedes Turms wurde der schwerste Fall (was Fall B für das WTC 1 und Fall D für das WTC 2 wurde) verwendet. Dann wurden für die Fälle B und D komplette Simulationsreihen durchgeführt. Soweit die Simulationen von den photographischen Beweisen oder Augenzeugenberichten [dass ein vollständiger Kollaps auftrat, z.B.] abwichen, passten die Ermittler die Eingaben an, aber ausschließlich im Rahmen der physikalischen Realität. Also, zum Beispiel… wurden die durch die herabsackenden Böden an den Außensäulen ziehenden Kräfte angepasst… [4] „Die hauptsächliche Rolle der Böden beim Kollaps der Türme war es, einwärts ziehende Kräfte zu erzeugen, die das Einwärtsbiegen der Außensäulen verursachten [4]. „Die Ergebnisse waren eine Simulation der Strukturschwächung jedes Turms vom Flugzeugeinschlag bis zu dem Zeitpunkt, an dem das Gebäude instabil wurde, d.h., bestimmt war zu kollabieren“ [4]

Wir stimmen zu, dass NIST von komplexen Computersimulationen Gebrauch machte, und ohne Zweifel „die Eingaben anpasste“, um die Zerstörung der Türme zu erklären, nachdem die physikalischen Feuerbeständigkeitstests ihre vorherbestimmte Kollapstheorie nicht gestützt hatten. Aber das Endergebnis solcher aufpolierten Computermodelle, die zur Verfügung gestellt wurden ohne Visualisierungen und ohne ausreichende Details, dass andere sie bestätigen könnten, ist kaum zwingend. Ein Artikel im Journal New Civil Engineer stellt fest:

"NCE hat erfahren, dass die Ermittler des World-Trade-Center-Unglücks [bei NIST] sich weigern, ihre Computervisualisierungen der Kollapse der Zwillingstürme zu veröffentlichen, trotz der Aufrufe dazu von führenden Bau- und Brandingenieuren. Visualisierungen von Kollapsmechanismen werden routinemäßig verwendet, um die Art des Finite-Elemente-Analyse-Modells, das von den [NIST-] Ermittlern verwendet wurde, zu bestätigen.

…Ein führender US-Bauingenieur sagte, dass NIST offensichtlich enorme Ressourcen für die Entwicklung der Einschlags- und Brandmodelle aufgewendet hatte. „Im Vergleich dazu ist das Gesamtstrukturmodell nicht so anspruchsvoll“, sagte er. „Die [von NIST] verwendete Software ist an neue Grenzen gestoßen, und es hat eine Menge Vereinfachungen, Extrapolationen und voreilige Schlüsse gegeben" [23].

Weitere detaillierte Kommentare zu den NIST-Computersimulationen liefert Eric Douglas [24].

Wir würden gerne die von NIST gemachten Computermodelle und Extrapolationen diskutieren und den Bedarf an Visualisierungen, um mit numerischen und graphischen Hilfsmitteln die Finite-Elemente-Analyse zu prüfen und bestätigen.

13. Eine Erklärung für den totalen Kollaps fehlt

NIST: „Dieser Brief ist die Antwort auf Ihre Anfrage vom 12. April 2007… wir sind außerstande, eine vollständige Erklärung des totalen Kollapses zu erbringen“ [25].

Dieses Eingeständnis von NIST nach dem Veröffentlichen von etwa 10.000 Seiten über den Kollaps ist von einer bewundernswerten Aufrichtigkeit, könnte jedoch eine Art Schock sein für interessierte Parteien wie den Kongress, der NIST beauftragt hatte, eine vollständige Erklärung zu finden.

Wir stimmen zu, dass NIST bisher keine vollständige Erklärung für den totalen Kollaps erbracht hat. Tatsächlich bemühen sie sich zu erklären, dass ihr Bericht nicht bis zum Kollaps reicht, sondern die Untersuchung nur bis zu dem Punkt führt, an dem jeder Turm „bestimmt war zu kollabieren“ [4]. Wir bieten unsere Hilfe an, diese schwer greifbare „vollständige Erklärung des totalen Kollapses“, der so vielen unschuldigen Menschen in den WTC-Türmen das Leben gekostet hat, zu finden, in der Hoffnung, dass es nicht noch einmal geschieht. Wir haben ein paar Ideen und können diese mit Versuchsdaten untermauern [13, 22]. Wir sind daran interessiert, dass physikalische Beweise und Analysen zu einem vollen Verständnis der Zerstörung der World Trade Center führen.

14. Suche nach Sprengstoff- oder Thermitrückständen

Aus einem NIST-FAQ: [Frage:] „Hat die NIST-Untersuchung nach Hinweisen darauf gesucht, dass die WTC-Türme durch eine kontrollierte Sprengung zu Fall gebracht worden sein könnten? Wurde der Stahl auf Sprengstoff- oder Thermitrückstände getestet? Die Kombination von Thermit und Schwefel (Thermat genannt)‚ schneidet durch Stahl wie ein heißes Messer durch Butter’.“ [Antwort:] „NIST hat den Stahl nicht auf Rückstände dieser Verbindungen getestet“ [3].

Wir stimmen zu; es gibt keinen Hinweis darauf, dass NIST nach Rückständen von Thermit oder Sprengstoffen gesucht hat. Dies ist ein weiteres bemerkenswertes Eingeständnis. Die Suche nach Rückständen pyrotechnischer Materialien, insbesondere Thermit, wird für Brand- und Explosionsuntersuchungen vom NFPA-921-Code vorgeschrieben:

"Vom anfänglichen Brennmaterial könnten ungewöhnliche Rückstände zurückbleiben. Diese Rückstände könnten von Thermit, Magnesium oder anderen pyrotechnischen Materialien stammen [26]."

Spuren von Thermit in den Resten (verfestigte Asche, Staub, etc.) würden uns eine ganze Menge über das Verbrechen und die Ursache von tausenden von Verletzungen und Toden sagen können. Dies ist die Standardprozedur bei Brand- und Explosionsermittlungen. Möchte NIST vielleicht erklären, warum sie nicht nach diesen Rückständen gesucht haben? Der Code schreibt vor, dass Ermittler eines Brandes darauf vorbereitet sein müssen, einen Ausschluss rechtfertigen zu können [26].

NIST ist kürzlich zu dieser wichtigen Angelegenheit von der investigativen Reporterin Jennifer Abel befragt worden:

Abel: „…was ist mit dem Brief, in dem NIST gesagt hat, dass es nicht nach Hinweisen auf Sprengstoff gesucht hat?“ Neuman [Sprecher von NIST, im WTC-Bericht aufgeführt]: „Stimmt, weil es darauf keine Hinweise gab.“ Abel: „Aber wie können Sie wissen, dass es keine Hinweise gibt, wenn Sie nicht erst einmal danach suchen?“ Neuman: „Wenn Sie nach etwas suchen, das nicht da ist, verschwenden Sie Ihre Zeit… und das Geld der Steuerzahler“ [27].

Dieses offensichtlich ausweichende Verhalten könnte man komisch finden, wenn NISTs Herangehensweise sich nicht auf die Leben so vieler unschuldiger Menschen auswirken würde. Wir glauben nicht, dass es „Zeitverschwendung“ ist, wie im NFPA-921-Code festgelegt, nach Thermit oder anderen Rückständen zu suchen. Auch hier könnten wir vielleicht aushelfen, weil wir in den WTC-Überresten mittels analytischer Methoden auf dem aktuellen Stand der Technik nach solchen Rückständen gesucht haben, besonders im gewaltigen giftigen Staub, der erzeugt wurde, als die Gebäude fielen und tausende Menschen töteten, und die Hinweise auf Thermitverwendung häufen sich. [13, 22]

SCHLUSSFOLGERUNGEN

Wir haben vierzehn Bereiche aufgezählt, in denen wir mit FEMA und NIST mit ihren Untersuchungen der tragischen und schockierenden Zerstörung der World Trade Center übereinstimmen. Wir stimmen darin überein, dass die Türme in der annähernden Geschwindigkeit des freien Falls gefallen sind und das ist ein wichtiger Ausgangspunkt. Wir stimmen darin überein, dass verschiedene populäre Mythen sich als falsch herausgestellt haben, wie zum Beispiel der Gedanke, dass Stahl in den Gebäuden aufgrund der Feuer schmolz, oder dass die Türme hohle Röhren waren, oder dass die Böden in der Art aufeinanderfallender Pfannkuchen die totalen Kollapse verursachten. Wir stimmen darin überein, dass der Kollaps des 47stöckigen WTCs 7 (welches nicht von einem Jet getroffen worden war), ausgehend von einem feuerinduzierten Mechanismus, schwer zu erklären ist, und dass NIST sich (bis jetzt) geweigert hat, nach Rückständen von Sprengstoff zu suchen [3, 22, 27]. Unser Untersuchungsteam würde gerne auf diesem Fundament aufbauen und mit dem NIST-Untersuchungsteam korrespondieren, besonders, seit sie offen zugegeben haben (in einer Antwort an einige von uns im September 2007):

„…wir sind außerstande, eine vollständige Erklärung des totalen Kollapses zu erbringen“ [25].

Wir bieten an, diese Angelegenheiten in einer zivilen Art als eine Sache von Höflichkeit im Fachdiskurs und bürgerlicher Pflicht zu diskutieren. Die Leben tausender Menschen könnten sehr wahrscheinlich davon abhängen.

DANKSAGUNGEN

Vielen Dank für die hilfreichen Diskussionen mit Jim Hoffman, Dr. Gregory Jenkins, Dr. Jeffrey Farrer, Prof. Kenneth Kuttler, Prof. David R. Griffin, Gregg Roberts, Brad Larsen, Gordon Ross, Prof. David Griscom, Prof. Graeme Mac-Queen und den Forschern von STJ911.org und AE911Truth.org.

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